This is true- remember last Tuesday night when most had declared there would be no snow, winter was over, and that the GFS was high?
ravensrule and I and like 8 other weenies were the only ones left on the thread! Lol
Yeah, I am calling BS on the Wintergreen self report. Up in the northern part of our county (Augusta) had 6” and 5.5” observations by trained spotters up around 4300 ft. I was hiking up near there yesterday and saw it.
The other report near Wintergreen around 5” makes a whole lot more sense. Maybe more at the peak at the resort, but 10” more? Not buying that for a minute.
No, no one does. That is why we are all here tracking the models run to run.
If you know how this works out, you should tell us and save us all the time we are investing into tracking.
He has repeatedly said 84-96 hours out, so it matters when the threat is over a given weekend.
ETA- So yeah, we usually start getting a good picture by Wednesday.
But he said the CAD was underdone, which would lend credence to the ptype it was showing.
Also, the physics based models have all started to say the same thing, lending even more credence to the AI solution.
You said it was fools gold but then said the NWS was wrong and the CAD was underdone. But if the CAD was underdone then it gives more credence to the Euro AI solution vs the rainier physics based model solutions. Your two posts together make no sense.
Lastly, the Euro AI has the highest verification scores on the planet right now. So your comment about it not being ready for primetime makes no sense to me either.