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etudiant

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Everything posted by etudiant

  1. etudiant
    Only comment that I've seen is that there had been no maintenance of these dams since Qaddafi was overthrown in 2011, due to the ongoing civil war. Nothing about their construction or function though. Iirc, Qaddafi's signature project was the 'great man made river', to divert water from the Atlas mountains to the population centers, around Tripoli and elsewhere, so he must have been actively building reservoirs. I've no idea whether these dams were part of that effort.
  2. etudiant
    Patience....
  3. etudiant
    Is there a good explanation for this critical course change or is it projected based on historical precedent?
  4. etudiant
    Only some moderate gusts here in Manhattan, not even a sprinkle thus far. Seems the action was further north, we just swelter some more.
  5. etudiant
    NYC had the Lantern Fly food tree planted everywhere. The 'Tree of Heaven' is a good choice for urban trees, resists pollution and abuse better than most native species. So the Lantern Fly arrived to a well set table, only ray of light is that our birds are getting a taste for them.
  6. etudiant
    Thank you for posting this. It puts down a marker with solid detail in the forecast. I only wish your example was generally emulated.
  7. etudiant
    Nothing thus far here in Manhattan's UES, even though the forecast amount gradually rose during the day from.25" to .65", before being slashed to 0.05" now. Evidently these very localized intense storms remain very difficult to predict.
  8. etudiant
    Given that SSTs in the Atlantic are unusually high, is it possible that the hurricane season will be extended, so that October becomes the 2023 September?
  9. etudiant
    Not an installer, but could you rent a cherry picker to mount your gear at a reasonable cost? Separately, the location looks pretty exposed, great for getting clean measurements, but also potentially a lightning rod. I'd strongly second uofmiami's recommendation to have it blessed by an electrician, just for peace of mind.
  10. etudiant
    Only if one of the rain bands comes through. Thus far, rainfall rates here have been very subdued, well under the 1"/hr rate.
  11. etudiant
    Rain here on the Manhattan UES has stopped for the moment. Doubt we got even a tenth of that here.
  12. etudiant
    Move to Hilo in Hawaii, all the rain you could ask for and when you're tired of it, just go to the dry and sunny side of the island.
  13. etudiant
    Modest rainfall now under way, UES of Manhattan.
  14. etudiant
    Still dry on the Manhattan UES as of 6.30 PM local time.
  15. etudiant
    So true. The recent NYC Manhattan experience has been that forecast rains tend to disappear as the time approaches. No idea why though.
  16. etudiant
    Hearing it as well, but still hazy sunshine and no rain thus far on the UES in Manhattan.
  17. etudiant
    Afaik, the NYC area expressways and parkways were designed to ensure that the commuters would be ready to kill by the time they got to their office. That helped ensure NYC's dominance in business negotiations. Alaska is just wonderful, your fancies are entirely justified.
  18. etudiant
    Is that not like betting on black after red has come up for the last ten throws, because 'it's bound to change'?
  19. etudiant
    Meanwhile, the rain we had hoped for here in NYC for this weekend has evaporated. Guess the models did not close. Very disappointing, we are headed towards drought conditions, with no relief in prospect based on the models.
  20. etudiant
    The issue to me is that it explicitly says local forecasts at the basin wide level are inadequate, that a global perspective is needed. That makes the problem very much more difficult. Does anyone have a respectable global model?
  21. etudiant
    Is the wildfire impact enough to off set the reductions in smoke from the various anti pollution initiatives? It would help to get some real world data as to the reductions, measured at various particulate sizes, in atmospheric pollution. Without some baselines, it is difficult to generate a robust thesis.
  22. etudiant
    Also, the May normals used are from the more recent 30 years, so elevated from the earlier averages. May seemed warm and dry here in NYC, certainly more pleasant weather than in most recent Mays.
  23. etudiant
    Have to say that this is disappointing. It recognizes the warmth in the Atlantic and then says it does not count because the Pacific is having an unusual El nino. Basically says only global models have value, basin wide analysis is inadequate. Guess I'm not cut out to be a meteorologist, I've no grasp of global models..
  24. etudiant
    What on earth is burning in Nova Scotia? I have this 'Anne of Green Gables' image of a mostly rural farming oriented province, does not seem a promising site for massive wildfires.
  25. etudiant
    This is quite wonderful, a discussion of the various factors that indicate an El Nino developing, done in real time, by experts who are trying to forecast the future based on all available public sources. It's especially relevant because there is as yet no consensus as to the details, which is what most of us pay attention to. The possible impact on the Atlantic hurricane season is a separate topic, which however will surely gather increasing attention.
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