etudiant
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Everything posted by etudiant
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The memory hole concept is alive and well, especially in DC.
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Don, Was January 2925 precipitation in NYC the lowest on record or was the drizzle yesterday enough to prevent that?
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Seems to me that the Paris Climate Agreement was mainly eyewash, hence there will be no effect. Reality is that China and India, the largest coal users by far, got a free pass for promises to get better sometime in the 2030s. Now that the US is out, it will be business as usual, with perhaps less need to pretend to be green.
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Walking through the Park showed snow cover pretty thin, consistent with the official 1.6" estimate. However, the ground had been wet and it is possible that the initial snowfall was melted, Certainly there was a lot of ice patches where snow had been cleared. The most accumulation was definitely on the rustic wooden fences, they had easily half again as much snow depth as the ground, probably because their surface was pretty dry when the snow began.
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Seems legit, I don't know where they measure, but walking around in the Park it's about 2" all over.
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Maybe 2" tops here in Manhattan's UES. My hopes for 4-8" were dashed. But it's better than nothing and it should stay around for a little while.
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Now steady snow on the UES, roads with about an inch of snow/snizzle. Still seems well short of expectations for me, but hopefully I'll be delighted tomorrow morning.
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Perhaps you're getting a jackpot, but I'm not. Here on the UES near 90th St, it's thin snow and at most a half inch on snizzle on the roads.
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Nothing on the ground and no precip currently at 6.45 PM here in Manhattan. Seems a bust.
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Interesting, I use https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0Q-0-48, they have much less precip. Are there standards for what the radars show?
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The radar says I'm almost done, just one more band to go. So I'm not hopeful of any more than an inch at best.
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Wherever it is, it is not here in Manhattan. We're getting very light snow, maybe at an inch every 3 hours rate. Temperatures are around freezing, so stuff melts or sticks, depending on where it lands. We're nowhere close to any 3" forecast. No dings on the weather service, their maps told the tale, it is more a reproach to all the people who tried to make this into something it was not.
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I stand corrected, there is some snow in Manhattan now. I'g guess a quarter inch of wet slop on the ground, maybe building up to as much as an inch if the radar holds. Still not close to the 3-6" hoped for, but we'll be happy with what we got.
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True, but not always associated with 3-6" snow cover forecasts. Just looking at the radars, it seems a very big stretch.
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If you go outside in Manhattan, you won't see any snow, just slightly wet streets. I'd be delighted if we get an inch of snow cover out of this. Right now it looks to be a Nothing Burger.
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Still a goose egg here in Manhattan. If we're going to get the advertised 3"+, there'd better be serious banding.
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Just wet streets in Manhattan, no snow apparent at all as of 3.15PM.
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Was there not a fable about 'The boy who cried wolf'? It seems that the pressure to get clicks is overriding any concerns about credibility longer term or sense of professional responsibility.
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Well, you're probably reasonable well placed to avoid any storm surge, certainly better than I'd thought. I've no idea what the aftermath of a Florida hurricane is like, do people get together to pick up the pieces or is it 'Lord of Flies'? Certainly a learning experience for the kids.
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Honestly, if you have kids and expect a potential 10' storm surge, you should get out. Life is too precious to be stubborn.
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Exactly! People know this and consequently prefer to risk their lives by riding out the storm, just to avoid losing all their possessions to criminals and vandals.
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Trouble is that for most people, their home is all they have. Leaving it vacant and at the mercy of the elements and of passers by is a huge step. Imho, people would be more willing to evacuate if they had some assurance that the authorities had their back, that their property would be watched, so at least it would not be looted by the time they were allowed to return.
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There was a very good illustration map of the Sarasota area in a post yesterday, which allowed one to see the streets progressively inundated as the surge went from nothing to 10 feet. I know zip about Florida, so no idea whether your friend's location is covered. In any case, maps and good models exist. Good luck!!
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Surely the most likely is under 10". We have all the makings of a non event winter, what would produce a near normal result?
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Imho, there is little to be learned from the further evolution of Ernesto. Rather we need to understand how come high Atlantic SSTs are not translating into more and better hurricanes. Right now, the various forecasts appear to show little skill at best. Does anyone have a possibly better approach? Asking, pretty please!
