etudiant

There is no indication that the warming thus far has actually produced increased hurricane intensity. So the premise for this model needs further justification before becoming actionable.

That is the kind of nuts and bolts facts that we really need, but cannot find anywhere in the 'information age'.

Suggests there will be serious pricing disruptions for foodstuffs globally. The US feeds many more than the domestic consumers.

LOL indeed. Only a forum of weather compulsives could come up with even the concept of 'slant sticking'. There is probably some crusty naval term which applies to optimistic wind measurements, but I don't know it. Maybe someone here can help.

Missed us in Manhattan. Just a sprinkling, not enough to leave more than a few damp patches by daybreak.

Not in Manhattan, don't believe we even cracked 80.

Think downtown Ft Worth next door was hit by a tornado a couple of decades ago. Iirc, it broke a lot of glass, but there were few casualties.

The photo is of a Blackpoll. The combination of black cap and white cheeks is distinctive. Is there sound with the picture?

Nice shot of a Blackpoll Warbler. It's plumage will look very different in the fall, when it heads back to Brazil. They do the New York to Brazil flight in a single hop, which is just astonishing for such a little creature.

The difficulty arises when people attempt to use the models as forecasts. By the evidence, beyond day two, the modeling methodology still falls short.

Very interesting paper. It suggests that the phenomenon is a quite frequent occurrence, with 5 such events of over 24 months duration during the past 60 years. Do any of the atmospheric models show the TNH pattern that the researchers suggest is driving this?

Which part is edible? Does anyone grow it for food?

Sounds like a plant farmers would love if it actually offered something useful. Maybe the genetic engineers could help the knotweed grow bigger seedpods or something.

Have to say that I liked 'global warming' a lot better. It accurately describes the ongoing process. Climate change by contrast is content free imho. It takes a whole lot of added context to give it meaning.

Pretty sure we're past 3" by now, raining steadily here in Manhattan

The change did not get the superstar treatment at the time. Was this because it takes time to recognize that a big shift has occurred or because we did not appreciate the phenomenon? Is hemispheric circulation modeled effectively or is it a space where skill levels are still evolving?

A cautionary tale, the windmills output approximates that of the country's nuclear sites, which are getting shut down. The effect is to trade one low emission power source for another, leaving the bulk of the electrical production reliant on conventional power plants, many fueled by brown coal, an especially dirty fuel. A better way to store power and a more aggressive implementation of a Europe wide power sharing infrastructure would help a lot, but technology gaps and political NIMBY opposition to big power transmission lines are real obstacles.

I don't understand this. The two graphs for actual temperature look pretty similar, but the anomaly graphs are very different. Can someone please help me understand how that happens?

Situation seems similar to that after the 2004 earthquake, first reports are of only a few casualties, because the worst hit sites have lost communications entirely. Looks to be very ugly.

Well, if a 1936 + 0.15C rerun is going to happen, summer will be toasty.

Manhattan UES thus far just wet streets, no accumulation at all apart from a coating on parked cars. The precipitation will need to intensify if the forecast 5-8" are to materialize.

NYC Central Park a healthy 2", maybe even a bit more. Plus we still had snow cover from the prior event, so it added nicely and gave a solid cover. Lots of happy kids on sleds, even a few intrepid cross country skiers.

Surely the punch line here is this: When freshwater injection on the Southern Ocean is halted, global temperature jumps back within two decades to the value it would have had without any freshwater addition Afaik, there has never been a halt to freshwater injections into the Southern Ocean, so this is a totally unverifiable claim. Add to this a generous 20 year lag time to reach the new equilibrium, there is no way this can be tested or verified within a human lifetime. Is this science?

Interesting factoid, but how is this relevant to 'American Weather'? Given the circulation patterns, one could argue that this record merely reflects the warmer than usual winter here in the NYC region.