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Paleocene

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Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Paleocene
    Not trying to junk it up too much with maps in here, but at 00z weds, the presentation of the EPS is pretty similar. Maybe a hair east. Lows more tightly clustered around the mean.
  2. Paleocene
    12z EPS versus 00z
  3. Paleocene
    So, 12z summary of 120-144 OP runs: CMC - west/rain95/snow favored spots UKMET - west decent snow/bit of snow for 95 GFS - nice for all Euro - what storm? ICON - east/meh/nothingburger Let's take the median ??
  4. Paleocene
  5. Paleocene
    To my untrained eye its path is a bit further south (and east) on 12z. 00z: 12z:
  6. Paleocene
    I vote tomorrow AM if it holds thru 06z
  7. Paleocene
    quick someone tell me why the GFS is right and the CMC is wrong because its the CMC, right?
  8. Paleocene
    It loves to do this when digital snow is on the digital ground. Maybe it's a sign it really believes in the snowpack.
  9. Paleocene
    Surface temp profile as precip moves in/out. Pretty good. 850s better.
  10. Paleocene
    Kuchera:
  11. Paleocene
    Thanks. Is there a document/link somewhere that explains what the % shares that make up NBM are? Are those temporally consistent or do they shift?
  12. Paleocene
    Credit to @Terpeast here, the presentation of what happens to the saturday-sunday cutter has changed dramatically over the last 48 hours on the GFS. TPV further east, no low spinning backward over the hudson, etc. I buy in to the "models need to see what's coming next" theory... chaos theory etc
  13. Paleocene
    Where's @NorthArlington101's cycle? We're BACK BABY
  14. Paleocene
    We had a lot of flickers in the 20910 zip code in the afternoon yesterday, but no outages. I have been impressed with Pepco reliability in my nhood (where I have been since 2020). Knock on wood.
  15. Paleocene
    Pivotal free gives snow depth for EPS:
  16. Paleocene
    Please (yeah yeah 150 hour OP)
  17. Paleocene
  18. Paleocene
    I'm here to chase cold, and at least the GFS is consistent with that.
  19. Paleocene
    From Sorrento, ME (across the bay from Bar Harbor). The red house is a former captain's house on a now nonexistent pier, it is about 5' above high tide at mean level usually. this is a pic of a road in the same town that follows the coast; those trees on the other side of the road are also usually about 5-6 feet above mean high tide.
  20. Paleocene
  21. Paleocene
    This storm did not hit the Pepco service area too hard. only 0.1% of customers have an outage. https://secure.pepco.com/FaceBook/Pages/outagemap.aspx
  22. Paleocene
    I like rain
  23. Paleocene
    WTOP says the bay bridge is closed. Edit: sorry, been that way for a while apparently https://wtop.com/weather-news/2024/01/easy-breezy-but-certainly-not-beautiful-heavy-wind-and-rain-to-cover-dc/
  24. Paleocene
    Parts of the backyard converting to pond status here in silver spring. Wind getting a bit gustier.
  25. Paleocene
    The chase for modeled cold is looking good though:
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