snowmagnet
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Everything posted by snowmagnet
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I‘m curious about the performance of the GFS since it was upgraded to the FV3 in June. Last year, the FV3 had all sorts of fantasy storms that never materialized. Does anyone know if it is more trustworthy at this point?
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So the NWS canceled the WSW and changed it to an Advisory continuing 1-2 more inches until 5 am. I thought that was odd.
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Shocking! I don’t think they have ever measured more than the western burbs. We had 30” in January ‘16 and they measured 17”.
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The Northern trend was real in this storm. We thought Fredericksburg was the bullseye, and then just south of DC. And the short term models keeps moving a bit north. But just south really suffered from the mix and north and west did very well!
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It definitely helped to boost the morale on this forum. Especially after 3 terrible years. And this was supposed to be no big deal. I think most are satisfied (except Ji, of course). And probably the Northern MD crew.
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You did quite well considering you were happy with 2-4 just a few days ago!
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When you all officially measure, do you measure, scrape, then measure later, and keep adding totals throughout the day? I feel like it’s bedn snowing quite a while, but I still have just around 7.5.
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Had about 5” before noon, now 7”. I’m hoping for 8”, but would have loved 12”. In Fairfax Co. just west of Fairfax City. Just enjoying the fact that it’s still snowing.
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Loudoun is usually the first to call it!
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True. Once the Euro picked it up, it didn’t waver much. Hopefully it will be reliable the rest of the winter.
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But didn’t the GEFS and CMC see this storm long before EPS?
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No we thought we would see accumulating snow this morning How much do you have? It just picked up in Fairfax. Big flakes...been light all morning. Hope it gets to you!
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Big flakes picking up in Fairfax. Hoping to get a few more inches!
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Just keep checking on our future HECS. WE thought this one would be a couple of inches. It's definitely better than that!
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Thank you! This is the time that I start to worry that all the models will be wrong. I’m in Fairfax, but I noticed NWS lowered expected snowfall for Southern MD, which surprised me.
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I’m so very sorry for your loss. Lost my mom in July and miss her very much. She didn’t particularly like snow, but she would always patiently listen to my crazy excitement over the latest snow forecasts and fantasy snow models. I told my dad in Southern MD that he needed a snow blower this winter. It was delivered today.
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Where are you?
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I’m just around Fairfax City and I was thinking we might get in on the banding. We typically do well with it. I am rather surprised that they upped the numbers so quickly. High ratios possible, I guess.
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Is it safe to rely on the short range models at this point more than the globals?
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Didn’t we get a surprise boom on PD 2003 due to Low pressure parking? I’m so hoping that the NAM is right. I know you are excited.
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I am hoping that is the case. The past few years they have actually been too aggressive, but I hope we are now in a pattern that keeps them upping the ante! Those are my favorite storms!
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I feel so bad that you are missing this! But I guess much of it is the chase. Your analysis leading up to this storm have been incredible! Hope you are enjoying yourself and make it back before we get a big one!
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I have a friend who moved from Chantilly to CHO a couple of years ago. She cashed in on snow in Dec. My son has a couple of friends heading back early to UVA today. You will do well down there again!
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Good morning from Fairfax! It was fantastic to wake up to an upgrade to WSW! I’m very optimistic about an over performing storm tonight and tomorrow. I keep raising the bar for mby. Earlier this week I was hoping for 3”, then 5”, now I expect 6”, but 8-10 would make me ecstatic! Just need the low to park where it needs to. We typically do quite well in Banding from the coast. Hope everyone around here does well! Currently 27/19 DP
