Scarlet Pimpernel

On 12/21/2023 at 7:11 AM, BristowWx said:

you might have gone from just dating deb once in a while to letting her move in to your place, filling the gas tank of her camaro, and letting her use your debit card to buy marlboro lights, churros and energy drinks at 7-11...she will drain you dry...cut her loose!

Deb is definitely NOT a friend with benefits!!! 

On 12/21/2023 at 6:10 PM, Scraff said:

LOLz. Not for effect. I have to play Tetris with food items regularly. This is fridge 2. My wife gets to have extra room for food when I can find room for it. She loves the extra freezer space though. And I’ll always make room for  Laughing Cow and some cheese tortellini! 

So, if you fit a block of several beers of the same type in there, do you get to drink them all at the same time and clear out space for more??? 

46 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

One of the problems with the year following a big year is expectations get totally out of whack lol. The Storm Which Shall Not Be Named 2010 was an incredibly bitter pill to swallow after the previous winter. I refused to believe it wouldn't work out cuz we were a blizzard town back then hahaha

FYP, translated into Harry Potter-ese for ya!  We're not supposed to actually say the name of that...event!   But you're right, coming off that previous winter, and with Dec. 2010 being cold, I think a lot of expectations in here were off-kilter and unrealistic.  Now, it's the opposite vibe.  Several meh to lousy winters and the mood is total defeat, and if a butterfly farts and causes one cycle of an ops model to look slightly less good, it's a freak-out!

55 minutes ago, nj2va said:

What year was it that the pattern flipped in early January with an event that kicked off a heater for the rest of the winter? 2015? 
 

Kinda feels like we are heading that way (different patterns yadda yadda). 

I believe that was mostly February into early March 2015.  I don't recall all that much prior to about mid-Feb, then we got on a heater for about 3-4 weeks straight!  And that February was COOOOLD, like -9 or -10 on the month for temps!

48 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

13-14 was kinda wall to wall. Early Dec produced (very good N-W). Late Dec got super warm and freaked everyone out. By first week of Jan it completely flipped and we got a moderate cold storm (Jan 7th maybe?).  History after that... I'll never forget the all snow/cold west track... super anomalous. 

2015 was an epic disaster until Vday. Pure insanity in SNE. Was hard to watch lol

Ahhh, semi 'd by Chill!  You're right, now that you mention it I do recall SNE getting hammered by a couple of storms late Jan or early Feb in 2015 and we got fooked.  Then yeah, Feb. 14 was that Arctic blast and intense snow squalls for an hour or so, got 2" where I am!  I still consider that to be the best or one of the best "mini" events I've experienced here!  And Bob, I still somehow recall you mentioning that you were out grilling during that snow burst, taking it all in!! 

OK, so...when did the medium/long range thread become a drug discussion?  Everything from brownies to gummies to shrooms to psychedelics!  I'll take whichever one gives us snow! 

13 minutes ago, Scraff said:

All I know is it better fucking snow soon. That pumpkin bisque ain’t going to drink itself! 

I notice you do have some food in there amongst the beer.  Good idea!  Unless you just placed that there for effect!! 

(ETA:  Laughing Cow cheese wedges...good stuff!  Same for the cheese tortellini!!)

16 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Shit, I dunno about warming my heart but that look really warms my loins!!

Do you need some time alone with that map? 

4 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

All the sociology stuff in a weather forum is kind of annoying. 

People's mood swings are crazy in here, it gets unreadable anytime something looks slightly less favorable compared to the previous day ("OMG, no digital snow yet, aren't we supposed to be going into this so-called great pattern by next week???").  It honestly makes it difficult to sift through with all the panic and other trolling BS.

4 hours ago, Deck Pic said:

I got 18.5” in NW DC.  Really the perfect storm. Amazing pivot. Cherish it. It doesn’t snow in December any more 

Yup...20.0" where I'm at not all that far away (Silver Spring, just over the DC line).  Amazing storm, and it was extra-special because it had been years since we last got a true HECS here.  It started Friday night (Dec. 18), like late evening, around 9-10PM, and accumulated rapidly.  I had 9" on the ground by Saturday morning (19th), and then 20" by the time it ended.  My daughter had just turned 6 in November of that year, and I have a photo of her on that Saturday in her pink winter coat with the snow up to her waist!

Oy Gevalt!  I don't check in here for a couple of days (was out of town), and sure as shit, this board turns to shit!  We should have ensemble members predict the mood swings of this board, it's so highly predictable!  Thanks to those with more level heads and less overt emotions for keeping some reality in here.

Happy (belated) anniversary to you, @mappy!!! And hard to believe that Dec. 19 storm is now 14 (!!!) years ago!   Then again,  cannot quite grasp that my daughter just turned 20 on Nov. 1!   I know this is "out of season," but here's a rose for you for your anniversary, if I may!  I rendered everything but the rose bud in black and white.

36 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Why are you talking about politics and making things personal by name calling And what does carrying torches have to do with the fact that I’m pointing out why you’re wrong - backed by a comment made by a very knowledgeable member just a few hours ago. The biggest storms we’ve seen over the past 10-20 years have ALL been sniffed out on ensembles well before day 5. That’s just a fact. It’s inherently clear that you can’t handle having a debate, and you’re making a fool of yourself.

Please move your emotions and bullshit posts to another thread like the panic room.

"Your majesty, you look like the piss ass (boy)!"...

1 minute ago, Heisy said:

If it plays out as currently pronged we’d need to time the N/S 50/50 perfectly with the meandering big ULL down south. This run we had some decent confluence setup for a bit. the airmass headed into the event is putrid. Think the main low is gonna take way too long though.

Even if this one misses/rain it gives me hope for Jan and Feb because we’re plenty of STJ influenced storms. Matter of time till we time something we’ll especially if we get -EPO


.

Yeah I saw the subsequent evolution...I know, it's way out there!...there's actually a primary way far to the west, in western KY/TN with secondary development (?) in the Carolinas, probably too far inland.  Sorry, I shouldn't be getting into those kinds of details at this point for that, but long and the short, I like seeing these "potentials" popping up more rather than guaranteed rainstorms.

2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Pretty solid HP as well. Would like it a little stronger. But that is a really nice look. 

Yeah, for sure!  Maybe it's "not the strongest" but depending on how it evolves and with a quasi 50/50 there to hold it around long enough?  At least something interesting to look at for once.

11 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said:

by his snowcover logic or whatever shouldnt have 2022-23 winter been a cold and snowy one for the EC bc of how cold the continent was in dec??

thats like saying why do we have summer if winter is so cold 

But last winter WAS cold (though not really snowy)...

...

...

...

...for all of 48 hours just around Christmas. 

Seriously though, yeah, we had that highly amplified pattern in December with the blast of Arctic cold and then it warmed right back up and we never recovered.  My family in northeast Ohio got a few inches of snow and a flash freeze with gusty winds in that pre-Christmas outbreak.  I visited them over New Year's weekend and by then it was getting into the 60s there (on one day, at least).  I seriously contemplated sitting out on the deck or on the front porch one evening, it was so warm.

1 hour ago, mappy said:

yall crazy   chasing patterns 10+ days out. 

Fixed your post a bit...you don't need the "qualifier", we're crazy enough without that!!! 

8 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

just for funsies, this is heading into Feb. god damn

 

Such language in this forum!!  I'm shocked!  LOL!!  But seriously, that's amazing going into February if that pans out!

8 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Don't take things seriously from an individual who eats ramen like this:

 

 

Oh, my!!!  That gives flashbacks to @H2O's Vienna wieners in spaghetti-o's jell-o!!!

The mood swings on this site sometimes...I swear!!

1 hour ago, Bob Chill said:

Pretty interested in the extended for the first time since Thanksgiving. Imo only- it's a decent storm look but not a big one. A big wrapped up storm would prob end up too warm or carry elevated risk of being warm. Something moving more laterally to our south should have no problem having some ok air to work with.

Don't think we can survive big SE flow in advance of anything yet until North America and the Atlantic cool down some more. Modest storm with northerly flow start to finish could produce something we haven't seen in a long time lol.... you know... one of those 4-8" snows that don't leave too many people out lol. Wut?!?

Just throwin down some random thoughts. Nothing serious or well researched 

Hey there, Bob...good to see you!  A 4-8" snow?  I think I've seen olde-tyme black and white photos of those, in some ancient history text!  You know, the kind that has a caption such as, "President Teddy Roosevelt frolics in a Washington Snowe-Storme, challenging the attending press to a snowball fight.  'I say BULLY to this snow, the cold air is good for the sinuses!', the President reportedly said."  But seriously, you're totally right and I agree about that.  A solid event of 4-8" from some weaker but decent wave moving west-east is the best chance at this time of year, rather than a wrapped-up system.

Honestly, while the internet is a great thing for the most part, it's all too easy to nitpick any statement, slice and dice it, and turn it against you if anyone so chooses.  I know that's a very cynical thing to say, but all too often I see comments or out of context comments used to tear people down.  Just look at what happens in the sports world, for instance, anytime some athlete says one small thing (I'm not talking blatantly offensive or whatever, but just one small thing).  People love to build up heroes and then knock them down sometimes.  It's really sad.

Got this neat shot the other evening of a crescent moon just as an airplane was going by...

If the Panic room were run by Hannibal Lecter:

"A jumping weenie once tried to escape me.  I ate his liver with some fava beans, and a nice chianti!"

On 12/15/2023 at 11:55 AM, paulythegun said:

#NEverForget the victims of El Nino: sailors boiled alive in the east pacific

Is that @WxWatcher007's, the Reaper's, tropical retirement spot??? 

Just now, psuhoffman said:

1991-92. Sorry I tend to refer to winter’s by their Jan/Feb year. It’s was Pinatubo.  

No problem...totally see why you refer to things that way (one problem with official winter crossing a year!!).  I had forgotten Pinatubo was the year before El Chichon blew.