Scarlet Pimpernel

How many ass hairs does it take to make a HECS??

@Maestrobjwa and @stormtracker...I saw that today is Mozart's birthday!! Now, I know that @stormtracker is not the biggest fan...I believe he once referred to Mozart with the phrase "his harpsichord playing ass!"...but as a classical music lover I still appreciate Mozart! Great music and great opera music as well! (Though I still must say Beethoven is my favorite!) ETA...I just have to add this link too, from one of my favorite movies!

Strange days when we'd refer to a 4-6" snowfall as a "refresher!!" But I know what you mean. I'm not unicorn hunting...though would take it if it actually happens! I'm mostly trying to see if we can get a decent event like a high-end advisory to low-end warning level amount and not sit here smoking cirrus. I think too many are thinking if it's not the unicorn, then it's a fail.

That mean snowfall is noticeably HIGHER than the deterministic amount from the GFS!

Hmm, OK...must be some weird discrepancy between the display providers. It's like half that on TT. But either way, at least a decent minor event and possibly more hopefully.

What area are you looking at? I checked TT for the 24-h QPF amounts and it's ~0.25-0.3" along I-95. Obviously progressively more as you go south and east.

It's a very fickle outcome to be sure, and all depends on how things interact, etc. But honestly, I think too many here are overly invested in a big dog HECS kind of event, or they figure all we'll end up doing out this way is smoke cirrus. Right now, I'm looking to see if we can get some kind of minor-moderate level snowfall out of it, with some slight hope of potentially a lot more. I think that may be doable and more realistic at this point. And really, if (for example) we get about 4-6" in the metro areas and all along I-95, I really don't think I'd care too much if some places southeast of us get 2 feet or whatever. Would be different if we get zip or barely a coating of course, but you get the idea.

Better than smoking cirrus a'la the Euro. A lot better.

As I mentioned earlier, if we can have a decent shot at a relatively minor 2-4" or 3-5" cold powder, I cannot complain too much (though obviously would take a HECS if it would happen!). Seriously, I would like to at least get into a position where we're more assured to be on the western edge and still able to get some halfway decent snow amounts.

Very true, and I've seen ice chunks come off people's vehicles before as well.

Yeah I've run into that a couple of times, where the car in front of you still has a big layer of snow on the roof. It leaves you in a localized mini-blizzard on the highway because the snow on their car blows backward onto you. Real pain.

At this point, I've more or less "given up" on a major, huge storm. It was a long shot anyhow even with the amazing couple of model runs. Though I would be glad if indications went back that way and it were to happen, of course! That said, I'm kind of wondering more now about the possibility of eeking out a minor 2-4"/3-5" type deal, along the edge of whatever monster system develops. It would be cold, high-ratio powder stuff presumably. I think @Bob Chill or perhaps @psuhoffman kind of discussed that the other day to an extent? I don't think this necessarily has to be an all-or-nothing raging blizzard or smoking cirrus that seems to be the general feeling in here from some people.

Now THAT'S a true die-hard! Grilling in these elements!!! Reminds me of the Feb. 14, 2015 Arctic front event that dropped a quick 2" blustery snow (and then turned bitter cold), when @Bob Chill said he was out in his garage grilling during those squalls!!! I believe he said that was actually one of his favorite "minor" events; I feel the same about that one! As for me...doing the traditional chicken soup over egg noodles. Got one of those pre-cooked chickens from the deli to cut up, plus some carrots, celery, onion...yummmm!