BooneWX
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Hurricane Debby - flooding rain threat region wide
BooneWX replied to olafminesaw's topic in Southeastern States
If I didn’t know any better, I’d think this is just a meandering upper level low. -
No - only folks on Hatteras at this point. All else should fair well.
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Should be just fine. Emerald Isle has easy access off of the island. When you said OBX, I was worried you were saying Okracoke or Hatteras - both of which fair poorly in even weaker storms.
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Depends. North of Oregon Inlet? Fine. South of it, woof.
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The models seem to be converging on Debby moving a bit farther inland than anticipated. It’s going to be a very soggy Thursday and Friday. I’ll be curious to see how much water piles up here in Lake Hickory. I doubt Duke will be able to dump too much downstream with heavier totals further down the Catawba chain.
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The eye is almost closed. Maybe 75% of the way there at the moment. It definitely seems like it’s stopped ingesting dry air and may be close to sealing the core off. Impressive velocities appearing on radar in the primitive eye wall.
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High winds and surge or not, Debby is already going to be one for the record books across the southeast. SC and Georgia - likely portions of NC as well, are going to see historic levels of flooding. This storm is looking like it’ll be a less sexy version of Hurricane Floyd.
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Wet week ahead. Debby will help us knock out several would-be dog days. Fall is getting close… that first cold front with low dew points is really going to be welcomed after the summer we’ve had.
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Great post! This is going to be the biggest forum wide weather maker we’ve had in a while.
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Classic pre-boom shrimp look
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So…it’s got that look
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Assuming this doesn’t blow up in the gulf and become a much bigger event than expected for the Big Bend, Charleston will be ground zero. The place floods during average thunderstorms and the models are honing in on a foot+.
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Earlier, yes, but the area south of Cuba certainly looks more impressive now.
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You can make out a twist in the blob east of the Caymans now
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I’m wondering the same thing, but equally, does it feel the weakness to the north as soon if it’s much further south? It seems like if it can consolidate there, we’d be more likely to see more wnw movement and less interaction with Cuba - likely only the low elevation western tip.
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If the center is indeed over water at this point, guidance is going to be playing catch up majorly. The blowup of convection to the east of the Caymans is worrisome. It’s been consistent for hours and it makes me wonder if a new llc may end up becoming dominant in that location.
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10.24 inches in July! The summer of have’s and have not’s continues. A foot of rain in May followed by almost nothing in June and nearly a foot in July.
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That was the worst storm we’ve had in our new home. Lightning hit the house or very close to it around 8. Luckily I haven’t seen anything alarming so far but my landscape lighting is temporarily fried until I can get a new low voltage transformer installed. .83 inches of rain over about a 20 min period.
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Good soaking rain today, we really needed it. The thunderstorms have been great but I always think you lose a ton of water when it’s coming down at such heavy rates.
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These are really efficient storms today
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4.27” this week. The first week with over an inch since mid-May.
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Blessings. Lost a lot of fescue to get here but maybe this will ease the pain a bit. what are you guys doing these days grass wise? My yard has become a hobby over the years but these past two summers have worn me out with fescue. I have a baby at home and time just really doesn’t allow me to water it correctly and apply the fungicide needed. I can’t do Bermuda thanks to a shady backyard but thinking about Texas Bluegrass (southern hybrid to Kentucky bluegrass).
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You know it’s bad when TV Mets are billing relief as temps falling to the low 90s
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Hell on earth type of summer unfolding for everyone - even us foothill folks to your west. Glad yall will get some much needed rain this week, just don’t hog it all and be sure to share with the rest of the forum.
