BooneWX
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Everything posted by BooneWX
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Someone in that band over Morganton is getting pummeled. Any ground truth?
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32.5 half an inch of snow
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Snow/Rn mix in Burke
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No better feeling than being in the meso discussion during a winter storm
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Ironic to hear forecasters talk about a dry slot ... ya know. Name the last time a system underperformed on QPF in the last two years lol. Haven’t we been 2-3x above climo on precipitation?
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At the moment: temp: 39 DP: 32 Wet bulb: 36 so.....not an ideal scenario
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At the moment: temp: 39 DP: 32 Wet bulb: 36 so.....not an ideal scenario
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3k showing heavy rain in some areas where it should be snow (and the sounding says it’s snow), which could explain some of the odd totals or lack thereof in certain areas.
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Just noticed the 3K does something odd throughout the storm. It tries to depict rain falling in many areas of the Lee, despite the sounding being snow. Could explain the big shift in totals. Not saying it should be thrown out but that would certainly explain the weird cut off in some areas that did well in previous runs.
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HRRR in line with the 3K for my neck of the woods, showing between 4-5 inches. Lock it in! I’m good with that after almost no snow the last 2 years in the foothills.
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Truly boom or bust. Someone on this thread will get an unreal amount with a low prediction and someone with a paste bomb prediction is going to get wet grass.
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That deform band on the nam!!
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Still not sure what to think about this storm. Model trends looked good day for my neck of the woods in Burke but good lord I can’t even count how many times this same setup has burnt me in WNC.
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As someone who grew up in the immediate Lee, this system is not the system you want to see. Downsloping can be a killer. With that said, not trying to be pessimistic for those living in those regions, just trying to spare you the heartache I’ve had through the years lol edit: but being in Marion, Lenoir etc won’t be as bad in this scenario than say a location like Mt. Airy. Central foothills should be just close enough to the best dynamics to help.
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HKY has been an interesting one to watch today, since it’s the closest airport to my location in Burke. If memory serves me right, it was barely over two this morning with more members under the mean that a above it - then it went a little over 3 this afternoon with about a 50/50 split and now 4+ and more members at or above 4. Exciting trends for sure! I wonder if the HKY area could be the sweet spot for being close enough to the upper low for best dynamics but just far enough from the warm air advection to stay snow....
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A lot of people will be happy with that run!
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Love it! Got my tempest set up last week and I’m not sure what I’ve been doing this whole time without a dedicated backyard station. Just really hoping we get a good winter storm soon so I can be glued to the DP and wet bulb readings for hours on end.
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Got a tempest weather station yesterday as a gift and couldn’t stand the thought of waiting until today to get it operational. Glad I did! I’ve always thought our neighborhood was a much cooler spot and I was able to confirm it. We bottomed out at 13.6 degrees while the closest other station dipped only to 17. On a side note, if any of you have a good or bad experience with station siting, let me know. I’ll never get a totally clean wind fetch at my location so I think I’m going to aim for 4-5 above ground with either PVC or a steel pipe. Thought about a roof mount but like the ground accessibility better.
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Little bit of snow and sleet here in Burke but just novelty stuff. Even more impressive was watching the 13 degree temperature drop in 20 min. What a front!
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Off topic but have any of you seen some of the totals coming out of upstate NY? 40+ in a few spots. Those rates had to be insane.
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December 16 2020 CTP Snowstorm Disco and Obs
BooneWX replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Dropping in to say congrats to all of you. Us southerners are living vicariously through you right now. Enjoy the historic storm! Absolutely absurd rates, can’t even imagine that type of snowfall. -
I think this could be a biggie for the eastern escarpment. The non talked about part of this storm is that precip never looks too tremendously heavy. That should help the accretion.
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39 here and dropping quick in Burke...
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Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event
BooneWX replied to Tar Heel Snow's topic in Southeastern States
Nam looks like a bit more ice for western NC down into the upstate since most areas are at .25+ with the model still showing freezing rain at hour 84. Colder air seemed a little deeper that run. -
Could be lights out for those of us in the foothills on Wednesday. GFS looked slightly colder, Canadian holds its ground as well.
