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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. BooneWX
    Not buying the anti-foothill guidance. I’ve not encountered too many overrunning events that didn’t score well in the foothills counties.
  2. BooneWX
    Lived in the foothills my entire life and I’ve never seen an overrunning setup skimp on the foothills - but I’ve seen plenty of models say it would. Not discounting the guidance, but there hasn’t been a single simulated radar that doesn’t show heavy banding impacting at least half of the foothill counties.
  3. BooneWX
    Slowly....this is becoming a big event for us.
  4. BooneWX
    Another big run incoming for NC
  5. BooneWX
    Simulated radar seems to have more of a sw to ne component, so we might be good.
  6. BooneWX
    NAM’ed!!
  7. BooneWX
    I’ve got a good feeling about this event. I’m not a met, just a hobbyist like most of us, but something in me says that the NAM verifies.
  8. BooneWX
    Triangle folks going to love this run
  9. BooneWX
    18z NAM will be telling IMO. I feel like this is the run where it either sticks or completely folds.
  10. BooneWX
    The NAM has its flaws, but I think it's ironic to see it written off by so many mets. The two minor events that have occurred so far in W NC, NW SC and parts of Georgia were nailed by the NAM, days in advance. It's had solid footing this year. Also, as someone living in western NC, I have a hard time buying dry solutions - everything has overachieved in qpf this winter.
  11. BooneWX
    Noticed that as well. Also noticed that the snow totals seem very low given the temps, time of day and simulated radar.
  12. BooneWX
    Wedge: always over-performs
  13. BooneWX
  14. BooneWX
    What are your thoughts on the thermal profiles?
  15. BooneWX
    I've felt like for days that the models were poorly handling the precip shield. If it's anything like every other system that's passed through during the last year, it'll overachieve on qpf and cover a lot of ground. Time will tell.
  16. BooneWX
    We had multiple road closures around Burke during the last storm and I expect nothing different this time. I hate to be the person that seems like they're wishing for a drought, but we could really use an extended dry period or heck, maybe a rain storm that doesn't drop 3+ inches every time.
  17. BooneWX
    Another flooding rain event this week
  18. BooneWX
    Flurries breaking containment today
  19. BooneWX
    Reminds me of early June this past year. Ugly isn't the word for it. It's been a torrential downpour in my area since 2-3 a.m. There hasn't been a single moment where I'd say the rain has been "light" since that point.
  20. BooneWX
    I want to apologize for the last two winters. I think I jinxed our chances last December during the big one. I joked with people after the storm that we had received enough snow for two years. Welp - super ironic now.
  21. BooneWX
    The worms have already been swimming through my grass.
  22. BooneWX
    Someone help me out here: can anyone remember the last time western North Carolina had a rain that didn’t amount to 3+ inches? I’m exaggerating of course, but geez the forecast after mid-week. Forget snow, I just want us to get a week of no rain.
  23. BooneWX
    Glad you enjoyed it! Honestly the whole western half of the state has a lot to offer. If you ever get the opportunity, pick a nice day and ride the Blue Ridge parkway from the southern most starting point to Watauga County. You won’t regret it.
  24. BooneWX
    Rates picked up tremendously - the type of rates that can overcome temps above freezing. What a surprise to save the season!
  25. BooneWX
    Snow in Lenoir!
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