BooneWX

My jealousy runs deep this morning. That death band from Roan to Spruce Pine looks incredible. Rake it in fellas!

Another solid run! Even the foothills join the game a little bit more. HKY with a 10 degree drop tomorrow morning in 3 hrs.

3 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

The folks at foothills weather are incredibly bearish

https://foothillsweather.net/2022/01/02/severe-weather-threat-ends-and-we-turn-our-attention-to-potential-winter-weather/

To be fair, a lot is working against us foothills folks. Heck, I’m not sure I can ever remember downsloping not being a death sentence in these setups. My hope is that dynamics can over come this to a degree but I’ll plan to go to sleep tonight expecting nothing so I’ll be surprised if we get anything. 

Come to papa 

Friday isn’t far off from being a major winter storm on the GFS…

The HRRR nailed last February’s upstate/WNC event, so fingers crossed.

6 minutes ago, Ja643y said:

Can you share? 

Sure thing! Most are clustered around an inch but after the weather we’ve had, even a dusting would be a win.

10 minutes ago, Hvward said:

WNC about to get NAMed.

Nearly spit my coffee out when I looked at the SREF plumes this morning. My hopes have perked up quite a bit.

Nearly spit my coffee out when I saw the SREF plumes for Hickory this morning 

28 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

18z gfs

Mother Nature reminding the foothills that we cashed out our luck for a while with that Dec 2018 storm 

45 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Congrats Norfolk

If we get a brief changeover down here in the foothills after a week of spring, that’ll be a huge W. For you fellas in the Mts, reel it in! I’m pulling for you.

38 minutes ago, Hvward said:

Sunday night & into Monday beginning to look very interesting for WNC.  Euro with a thump on the 12z, GFS also has a significant wrap around NWF on it.  This appears to have some validity. 

If it happens, I may chase this one. I don’t like my odds in the foothills this winter.

1 minute ago, Met1985 said:

Well technically yes earlier in the year as in last January through but this season is a big maybe...

Unreal. Can’t remember if I said it in this thread or the mid-long term discussion but snow aside, the above average temps are exhausting. I’m good with it even being slightly above average at this point but my station is at 73.0 as I speak. 

Has anyone even measured snow this year? 

8 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Yep it is a pretty solid bet for now. It's a bloodbath.

It’ll relax in April 

19 hours ago, olafminesaw said:

It's beginning to look a lot like torch-mas 

 

The -PNA sends its greetings. It’s borderline obnoxious how it takes an unfathomable amount of luck to even maintain average temps in the winter for more than a few days. Maybe P8 can save us but idk. 

It’s a week out but models keep hinting at the Sunday/Monday timeframe. 06 GFS has a major snow/ice event all the way down to the upstate. 

12 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

That run had a seriously strong CAD!

3 years ago today we were digging out!

12 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

Northern Virginia gets clipped by the snow on Next Wednesday.

However, there is a major storm next Sunday on the 18z GFS with snow as far south as Georgia & Western North Carolina.

I’ll settle for slightly above average air at this point. If we get some rain this week, I may be mowing again soon. 

7 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Today's run are not digging as deep nor is the system going negative tilt soon enough.  I think this chance is cooked. It will be cold but that's it.

Hopefully it’s the storm that puts the plates and silverware on the table for us though

Not liking the trends. The 3km has widespread 4+ inch rainfall totals and a decent swath of 6+. 

Salt in the wound

Check out that lightning the last few minutes in the southern eyewall 

That inner eyewall just doesn’t want to give up