STILL N OF PIKE

i dropped my brother off at Logan today. His flight in from Nashville was cancelled at first due to too few passengers. The comedy of all the "highway electronic signs" saying Salem is closed for the last week had me prepare my brother for the idea that we wouldn't be able to go there (i could take it or leave it) , he seemed to want to see the "hocus pocus" house which i found odd but hey i love him ha. It's just so surreal to me the double standard of how somethings outdoors and with usually masks was covered this summer with out any condemnation for fear of i dunno what...being criticized ? (and i have no issue with the message of protests) and something so critical to Salem's economy that also brings enjoyment was announced to be "cancelled" two weeks ago. Human nature is just funny to me and always has been. That being said "the strip" in Salem was quite busy...Everyone had masks on ...if you didn't you would be reminded kindly that you needed one by police, but the mood was very cool and Had the Halloween enjoyment vibe...I didn't see one event closed. We walked around saw a lot of cool costumes and it was just so very odd to me that the signs on the highway that day said "Salem closed" . I mean everyone in Salem is constantly just walking around past each other. I believe dining was 50% capacity or so...didn't seem odd. I was there for a couple hours in the mid day sun on Saturday and it felt much milder than i prepared for. Was nice to enjoy some normalcy. It is obvious thou that numbers are soaring in Europe and US...the duration of this trend is going to be interesting to me...and i honestly watch it very closely because i have gotten a decent amount of success trading options the last month or two. Covid is still being priced into Markets due to the steepness of the slope and the repercussions and lockdowns and subsequent GDP adjustments ahead. Couple that with election concerns and questions about contested elections the market is at it's ripest for Volatility and a Black Swan'ish event Since March for the next week or two..thou that would likely take some Contested election and riots to achieve in addition to the Rise of Covid. Also Global indicators like the Baltic dry index/ shipping index has fallen quickly in last 2 weeks to important support levels as well as OIL has really just begun tanking again as the dollar has rallied. The Fed decision after its two day meeting this Thursday (to expand asset purchases) will play a sizable role in the end of the week market activity , thou the various Fed Governor speeches (over 60 in last month) have repeated the same low pitched scream "downside risks to the economy exist without continued fiscal stimulus" ..and they certainly do. The Fiscal inaction since August.. during pandemic has been clearly documented as a driving force of this years growing Wealth inequality without stimulus as the hit has been (so far) to lower paying jobs on average,* fascinating how that isn't really a story , given everyone talking about inequality, guess the political donor class is doing quite well and is often just "acting" and the awareness of this via any media is low.

Ya, the amount of data is sparse

My guess is to take the under If your thinking above 3” There is a good GYX Paper on upslope Snows in N NH and NW Maine and some discussion on the factors that differentiate the small to medium events with the very rare larger event and where they tend to max and what factors to look for . You would probably enjoy the read as you will have several events . https://www.weather.gov/media/erh/ta2009-03.pdf

so does 6z gfs

SNE ftw

Was about 5” in Wakefield ma . Wow Nashua def had less

Power outages anywhere ?

Saggy Bedford 30

Should fall to 33 and Be a fun morning

You can see that Cstl front nicely Allston -Dedham-Norwood-W Mansfield 33-34 and falling- down to 35 in Boston. Jerry should be in business

Wills spot looks good

Big fatties falling 32.8 Bedford

KBED snow picking up

Whiff , we toss meteorology , not modelology

They said “ground is 2 warm”

Little Wawa jack on that RPM

Cut back ASH/LWM ill be at KBED

Elevation!

Gfs is good for W SNE and pike / interior Se mass. LWM/ ASH shaft

Was at Hunter Mountain for that one. Big gradient right on NY/MA border

The elevated SW Ct areas...like Oxford/Seymour over toward Tolland and Just N of Ginxy always had solid potential in round 2. They have shown a bit more consistency with lift in the morning period. This is a very cold airmass by morning. Areas further North have had more run to run shifts with Lift up toward ASH/LWM.

Take the boy to MQE

Do you give Bryce that tuff love as you interpret models to him . haha

Good step by nammy

12z friday nam looks solid