STILL N OF PIKE

We pray

Just saying to watch 12z models. If there was more confidence there would be snow advisory's up inland elevated areas.

You tell everyone 3 days out that every storm is coming. You really don't have much credibility at forecasting anything. You hype. That's it. OOo and you spin lol.

Lol , 0z was a shift in right direction on most models. The backside stuff relies on good lift from a ULL that is steadily weakening on approach...lets see what 12z does ..its Late October hype man. You saw what slight changes did last nite. WPC has the 50% line for 1 inch of snow from LWM to about CT /MA border by BDL. 50% line for 2 inches is from Concord, Nh to Berks. Anyone who thinks you aren't better than them is a debbie...lol

This part 2 is still up in the air. We really need 12z models to not pull a charlie brown.

gfs looked very similiar to 0z. Gets good lift in that area you mentioned for a few hours friday am

ya given the ingredients we are looking at (airmass and zeta) if we didn't have progressive flow over W Atlantic this would absolutely destroy someone and be potential for record books. That being said hopefully we can get advisory in more places than the Berks and NW corner of CT out of this. Euro is slightly more aggressive with the > 0c 7H line than the gfs or nam. I mean this is the mix of ingredients weeenies dream of . A late season Cane ..a ULL...and a Arctic airmass..... Let this not escape like one of Jimmy's dates inside 24 hours

Euro seems to have stopped that trend . It was ok. Just woke up and checked clown map lol so maybe I’m missing something

515 Thickness for Boston 11/3 at 12z. That's gotta be a good 3 S.D below normal.

Canadian is more robust with snow (at least than 12z) which isn't saying a ton. But solid 2" swath for immediate NW bos burbs. step in right direction.

I'm sure Ryan took note. Hits CT very well.

GFS look like it could bump north at 12z friday with round 2....

Do you have a link to that (even if its not in it's wheel house quite yet) i did a few minute search and can't find it on links or that site.

no, i wish i could recall some of the letters it may start with H lol

What's that meso that scooter sometimes references when we get closer in .

925's look like they will get the job done. Its very cold in low levels. I would anticipate accums if we actually get a halfway decent period of lift. We wont need S++ to accumulate IMO. That is very nice Cold drain thru the column, anomalous not much different 925's than many winter systems. I will admit i really just looked from Pike to ASH.

That's a cold airmass. 925 temps are -7C at MHT to HUBBDAVE by 12z Friday.

0z NAM First batch congrats Mitch - EEN- Dentrite to Just N of MHT 6-10" Nice parting shot for SNE Clown has 4-5" for PIKE

so 3 goats in Ashburnham can claim more snow Ya look at that 2011 October storm Pete got buried with about 28" This looks like a storm that could see nice amounts in elevated areas of Route 9 . They have best chance to cash in with both rounds. Models have Mitch flipping between like 7pm and 9pm.

What elevation ? Top of mountain should see a ALL snow event unless the modeling really amps things up from here . My guess is mid mountain in VT will get snow sticking by 6pm or so. Maybe below 1500' waits till 8pm ? The soundings on GFS/NAM area all snow at 3500' (with precip starting mid afternoon) . The bigger key looks to be how much precip falls . The first batch is where your scoring majority of your precip. The GFS barely gets much precip past Stratton and the NAM really gets it well into CNE. The second batch is more confined to S VT (route 9 and South in SNE)

That would be something if part 2 really is enhanced over S shore . Thats close to a pretty good thump down there.

Based on looking at nothing but overnight post count I imagine it will be in next hour that someone says “it’s a win in October if we see flakes (probably Scott who was never gonna see accumulation). I figured CT had a decent look in this , esp western half

Trending to crappola

1.7 "....maybe you can measure in a drift for her

It's funny everyone is excited for 12z and 0z Euro but now we are so close in ...we should be excited for 18z euro as well....Is it any less accurate?