STILL N OF PIKE

What elevation ? Top of mountain should see a ALL snow event unless the modeling really amps things up from here . My guess is mid mountain in VT will get snow sticking by 6pm or so. Maybe below 1500' waits till 8pm ? The soundings on GFS/NAM area all snow at 3500' (with precip starting mid afternoon) . The bigger key looks to be how much precip falls . The first batch is where your scoring majority of your precip. The GFS barely gets much precip past Stratton and the NAM really gets it well into CNE. The second batch is more confined to S VT (route 9 and South in SNE)

That would be something if part 2 really is enhanced over S shore . Thats close to a pretty good thump down there.

Based on looking at nothing but overnight post count I imagine it will be in next hour that someone says “it’s a win in October if we see flakes (probably Scott who was never gonna see accumulation). I figured CT had a decent look in this , esp western half

Trending to crappola

1.7 "....maybe you can measure in a drift for her

It's funny everyone is excited for 12z and 0z Euro but now we are so close in ...we should be excited for 18z euro as well....Is it any less accurate?

Slip sliding backs side , disjointed system ...

I have faith in none right now we are counting on a back side handy dandy to get our rocks off I could see the nam scenario unfolding

Ask me again in 6 hours

Congrats nobody on nam

18z nam dog poop

Weenieville, RI

S NH looks good . MHT

Are we gonna be back to congrats Dentrite

Some needs to give the Crazy Uncle a ride to grab booze before he spits out his 12z storm prediction

CMS looks to Give Mitch in SVT a Heavy dose of snow Hits S NH and Route 2 corridor hard as well This was a bit further S solution and ditto 7H 0c line

I believe your longitude could help place you out where that band is still solid before secondary low sort of shoots E/ESE and collapses band as it moves east. I believe even SW CT needs to watch this

That secondary band ...after Zeta crap...looks like its gonna max out from Catskills to Berks to W CT (maybe into S VT and SW nh and central mass) . Those spots could see a quick 4-6 if lift is solid

GFS is cold and not that bad Jucier. W MA and W central Ct could have a nice surprise Friday am

7.99 from earthy crunchy store

understood man I could care less about a few flakes or a dusting...doesn't do squat for me...no matter the month

You can see euro began speeding up zeta and that led to less phase , faster and flatter. It did this after 12z and nam now did this at 6z when i saw last nite Before Oz runs that the nam/euro and ukie All were significantly slower in handling Zeta than NHC , it was sort of the moment I figured the Faster less phase , weaker camp was right and ya it was Good result was bye bye warm tongue at least for SNE , So the ceiling is lower for CNE and the jack but as long as that mess of precip from 9z to 18z Friday Doesn’t trend weaker / we may have something to work with . I certainly don’t trust the clown maps that love to turn meh looks into high end advisory snows But we will see how that snowy morning period trends . Could go Poofy if the weaker faster scenarios trend a tad more .

The more i look at things You have 2 camps GFS/HMON/HRWF take Zeta in significantly faster, which leads to more of a NE direction after landfall (12z Thur- position near ATL) and not phased and whiff OTS or scraper EURO/NAM /UKMET take Zeta in Significantly slower, and draw her more north after landfall to a position (at 12z Thur near Over E central MISS or W ALA border (several hundred miles SW of other camp) and phase more leading to a system that is juicier further north and slower NHC favors first camp for now

imagine the PBP later lol

Euro looks to handle Zeta much more like Nam thru landfall...slower ..deeper and then after landfall (12z Friday ) couple hundred miles SW of GFS (like Nammy) SO I'm hoping to see this in 0z suite and then i'll be more confident in something juicy. I mean landfall isn't that far off.