STILL N OF PIKE

I’ve looked at the charts . I understand them very well . I would suggest you go back and look closer At new cases per day. USA cases peaked in July Around 75K Then fell for several weeks With a bit of a plateau around 45 k into September , deaths peaked in August (3-4 weeks after daily case peak) then fell. New daily Cases began rising notably in late September and have picked up steam this Last 2 weeks this month considerably to 80K . Deaths will be 1300 or so in 3.5 weeks . I’m not terrified of this virus in the least but I would bet anyone on the numbers .

Deaths lag cases by 3 weeks You can’t really say anything about deaths not matching cases for a couple more weeks . Hospitalizations rise approximately 10 days after positive cases and Deaths 3 week lag after cases. I am certainly not a alarmist with this stuff . Watch Italy deaths on worldometers site in about 10-days to 2 weeks . They should double easily on a daily rate and probably quadruple in 4 weeks . The numbers will rise after the election the media will cover it , and yes Biden won’t be a punching bag but the numbers are still going up and will . Based on the mini USA summer Spoke and the lag in deaths , 80-85k cases a day will translate to 1300 -1400 deaths a day and my guess is we will be up near 2k by Xmas . The data correlates pretty clearly and one could argue that mortality rates could be boosted in winter due to more concurrent infection of Covid positive folks ( I.E have flu also ) Also possibly bc there is some data that shows some correlation as the Vitamin D deficiency that spikes in winter and has been postulated to allow the cytokine storm to be more apt to take hold. That last sentence is not scientifically proven and Prob. never will be , basically bc there will never be enough funding dedicated to Provide enough real Data (scientifically ) simply bc the dollars allotted to most research goes to new medicine .

I am a Trainer at a nice little personal training Studio in Mass and the 75 year old ladies are hell bent on working out or have been since we re-opened. They desperately want some sort of social interaction , they basically LIVE to see their grand kids and that has been taken from many of them and there is a very real level of Depression that many elderly are feeling, especially those at nursing homes ...a mix of fear and really loneliness and dispair which i find heart breaking ( I like to joke a lot on here and in life) but it really is a brutal combination of either fear and especially isolation for many elderly that has been the hidden curse that takes the joy that many had in their lives out even if they dodge the Rona. Here is a statistic everyone should be familiar with. It's eye popping .6% of The Us population lives in Elderly care facilities and 40% of Covid deaths occurred there. Read that till it sinks in> That should be the focus for this late fall and winter .

Agreed. I would guess Full remote is coming for Mass by Xmas Break. Anyways, i'm just looking forward to some Snow chances even if i have to drive my car to Cannon mountain parking lot (like i did last weekend lol)

Just making one post ...Not to obsess, but has anyone taken a little peak over in Europe at the Rate of daily Covid cases over the last 3-4 weeks. Italy is up 7x (700%) France, Spain and UK all up 250% or greater in last 3 weeks. I would guess they may foreshadow us to a degree (hopefully a lesser one) And just worth noting as testing has increased, if you were wondering if they were catching mostly mild cases that were hidden...Italian Covid Hospitalization was up 55% in ONE week 0ct 11-18 (last Hospitalization data was released on 18'th) and it's accepted knowledge that Hospitalizations lag new cases by a good 10 days ...I would not be shocked to see their hospital system have De Ja Vu before Thanksgiving.

925's are -2 to -3 . That's not as bad as it sounded like your were saying....

Basically. HGH and Milfs

Didn't anticipate a Major Hurricane near Bermuda. That strength defied every forecast. One more Big swell incoming.

I thought it was pretty much say you quarantined at home for 14 days before you go, is that not an option any more. I spoke to a couple front desk reps for nice spots in Vermont and when i just said "ya ya level with me" they said " yes that is indeed the case.we ask that nobody not feeling well travels but yes". That was in August but i didn't go because the pool hours were restricted and by appointment only.

It's October 18, I'm surprised there is snow left anywhere South of the Great north woods. Very impressive snow for this time of the year in that Route 2 corridor over 1000-1200' feet

Storm hit at perfect time for maximum accumulations

Mark, how high up did you make it?

wasn't this the system forky was poo-pooing as weak n flat

What a sick location you have at Jay. 1900' probably sees 250" a year. Screwgied on this set up but that's rare

You did well highlighting the chance for this to work out in lower elevations than people thought. I mean...the scene in Littleton, Nh was surprising.

Seems high for real. Perhaps on SW edge bordering Jefferson. You notice 2 miles ese Jefferson was in there for 7.1 as well and we know Santa Village in Jefferson got hit hard. So probably somewhere that does poorly on Eastern flow (and good on NW flow) on SW side/edge of Randolph.

LMAO. I waited for a plow to go up Kanc. I made it to Just short of Hairpin turn and then turned off into a parking area under some pines that didn't have much snow and waited for plow. Franconia Notch was a white out. I was planning to go to Base of Cog at 2600' but i decided i couldn't go any futher on 93 N without plows.

Was watching the temps on the Mt. Washington Regional Mesonet and Saw that Cannon hit 32 a couple hours prior to Wildcat. My guess is the Top of Cannon and the other Big one just SW is near Jackpot .

Cannon was absolutely Nuking at 5 am when i pulled off 93 into that exit. Weather went down hill Fast heading up Notch. When a plow passed a while later i headed south and hit the Kanc ....Top of Kanc had 4.4 at 730 am. Cannon i'm pretty certain got a littler more than them by now.

S. Vt to Killington Peak seeing temps fall pretty quickly now. lots of 35-36s showing up in the 1850-2k range. Snow level at Killington down to about 2400 Mesoscale analysis has 925 Closed off now (N-S allignment from Cape cod to Cape Ann) Cannon 28F Bretton woods 2800' 32.6 F Looks like a Heavy snow event above 2500 potentially. hitting the road

just took a few hour nap, and looking over things regarding a early morning drive for snow Radar looks impressive. The Surge all the way West over S. VT looks impressive and it looks to be heading due north for the moment. Areas around 2.4K Killington are cooling significantly in last 90 minutes and Def snowing at the peak, you can see areas over 3700 in S VT have been snowing for last few hours. Over to the NE and whites Cannon should be snowing now as they dropped to 30.8 (4K) and the whole regional meso net out of Mt. Washington shows temps slowly falling there and snow levels currently are certainly low further west as the cold air /thickness work in. 36.3/35 at 2400' Killington 35 at 4k Wildcat 30.8 at 4k Cannon 240 am temps (edit 34.5 2400' Killington 33 4k Wildcat 29.5 4k Cannon Prolly make a run at Cannon or Kanc or base of Cog Railway 2100'/2880/2600' respectively.

Cannon already down to 34.3 . Looks like Cannon SW to Moosilaukee will get a good pummeling shortly. Further East at same Elevation Wildcat is 39.4

They sound as crazy as me. Dude..nice find.

Ya, the West side of MWN at cog is 2400'

i let you know what 2800' on the Kanc looks like at 10am