STILL N OF PIKE

Nappy time

37 Nashua Mild air not far off

We’ve probably had enuf helpings of Winter wolf passive aggressive posts for the day

Your like a chick w baggage . Can’t let the snow and hope in, for fear of the pig returning and breaking your heart .

frightening as i hate olives

Nice little event Can U check and see how much is at that plot at 1900” in eden , VT Lol

In the upslope spots of N VT you just have such a lower variance . Can’t really do worse than 150” at 2K from Nov to end of April

Brady not a big fan of meeting opposing QB at mid field after a loss ...

i deleted that post before your response because as i sorted thru it...your point above is correct and instead of edit my post and make it longer i just hit delete before you responded. Yes ICU ages and Deaths can always be compared thru the waves so yes they are definitely up from the summer. They aren't near the spring levels (ICU USE or deaths ) but obviously up and that's no shock because the testing methods over the summer can be related to current positives cases numbers (even if testing has still increased some) . If you track the current positive case numbers among 70-79 year old AND 80 plus that unfortunately will give folks a great idea when deaths will or wont spike a couple weeks later much more so than general hospitalizations but i understand we can't over whelm the hospitals so that general hospital data is important for its own reasons. I don''t see a tremendous correlation with young people numbers rising first and passing it to older folks...i don't believe the spread takes that much time across age groups but maybe i'm missing something . Whitinsville WX basically articulated what i was trying to say but better.

The market is a casino. Most legendary traders ...Jeremy Grantham...Buffet are very clearly calling a bubble and they admit they are not going to be accurate at timing the bubble.....but that its current valuations are not sustainable with regard to Schiller PE or Market cap/GDP just like in 1999 or 2008 when they made similar calls about a year early. I just wonder Hippy, if the global central banks are just even more in now. MMT was basically launched and followed since 2008/2009 crisis...rates have been pinned at 0% for nearly a decade minus the Fed experiment to raise them in 2018 when the market hemorrhaged or in 2019 when the economy was so "strong" that the Fed had to conduct big time repo operations beginning last SEPT to keep financial market assets climbing (bc in a bubble you either climb or implode) . Point being..the Fed isn't done trying and they will get more "radical" with their balance sheet expansion. Perhaps even telegraph direct equity purchases if need be. ECB would probably lead this charge. People always are quick to say ....whoa whoa whoa this policy isn't working....look a the inequality blah blah blah. So long as the top 1-2% can keep accruing wealth and see their paper assets grow...its working just the way as intended.

Third Consecutive Monday that positive vaccine news is announced around 7am. This time it’s Oxford -AstraZeneca Vaccine initial efficacy And it has less obstacles bc it can be stored at non obscene temps https://www.bbc.com/news/health-55041371

Increasing risk of a double dip recession Q1/Q2 2021. Fiscal inaction from a deeply divided congress magnifies the economic consequences (slowdown) from Covid scaling back economic activity , particularly in the industries currently in severe recession But also as revenue shortfalls begin to lead to their own dominos . The next few quarters , the economic pain has a couple paths to climb the socioeconomic ladder And gain market share In the middle class and upper middle class as job losses should regain steam this winter w Covid rises and provide cover for cost cutting measures in middle management and people furloughed as a less enticing view of the recovery comes into focus as well as dealing with revenue shortfalls ..especially in major cities where large local and state aid via stimulus was counted on. Bank losses in the commercial real estate sector may weigh on and potentially generate “ issues” in Europe first . Most see the economy growing nicely in second half of year but not recapturing pre pandemic levels for a while and the recovery to be sort of “K” shaped. Middle class potentially hollowed out a bit . We shall see, hopefully the virus abates faster.

I mean does that really mean anything scientifically or are we just spanking ourselves bc we are bored. 2018-2019 we had pattern that put 10 feet of snow down in S Canada , that just led to bridge jumping From a persistent gradient pattern and mid level lows to Watertown NY For 3 months

They are also culling the homeless due to high rates of spread amongst them. Newsom said it’s a horrible but necessary decision.

Covid (and Covid lockdowns / Fear appeals ) effect on Food , Housing and Employment Hardships . https://www.cbpp.org/research/poverty-and-inequality/tracking-the-covid-19-recessions-effects-on-food-housing-and What are the costs anyway

Tumbleweeds in Nashua . Dual pandemic

Part of it seems to be folks opting toward setting the bar low early so they can be pleasantly “surprised” At a so-so winter . Some employ this strategy The pig on guidance was gasoline to that fire and will shake most which I believe is valid ..But to varying degrees

Morale is shaky

About 80% of my Gf's constituents were pushing back ..she teaches 3'rd grade. .there were 2 i know personally who have significant medical issues (personally and with a spouse) that caused them to balk at any kind of in person learning. One is completely fine( made peace with it) .. she went back (she is Italian and would let everyone know otherwise) and one took the year off at her husbands urging. There was another 2 who wanted remote but then when they had to either go back in and teach remotely or go back in for hybrid (or not get paid) they came around to hybrid. They told my GF ( who worked with them initially in teaching groups that when they went back and interacted with humans again... their anxiety went way down and are comfortable in the classroom now, but obviously they want the cleanest conditions possible

Mass Hospitalizations have increased from 588 to 917 in last 10 days . That data is pretty much in line with daily case number rise from 17 days to 7 days ago (there is approx a week lag between the ave. person testing positive and those of them that require hospitalization) . The 6 metrics just released this week (which are updated on Wednesday and Saturday) look like a very good comprehensive list of where the area stands with regard to the virus impacts , especially at hospitals. While Hospitalizations have ramped up in last 10 days ..the percent of available ICU beds seems to have not moved..Which i find odd ...thou those probably have a general lag over hospitalizations...But it's odd they haven't moved much in last 2 weeks. If you take Walsh at his word, It's clear they don't want to Roll back much further.unless forced to.. perhaps due to the lasting economic damage that is cumulative and beginning to seriously strain revenue and create a ton of budget cut anxiety? Will be interesting to follow the hospitalization data and how it correlates of not with daily rising cases. https://www.boston.com/news/coronavirus/2020/11/18/new-boston-coronavirus-metrics

Wow , it usually takes a few weeks to fill up a whole page of a NNE thread , w PF talking w himself and maybe a stray moose that signed on , and J spin throwing in a couple precise measurement posts .

It’s a step away from the Bridge Jumping Pig look.

^That GFS ens Map looks good

I could tell you there was a significant divide , basically similar to the general public . Thou there were more general willingness to go back in person for youngest kids but still a ton of disagreements . Reason being almost every single teacher new the level of education via various studies the kids were getting via remote would be (poor) and Not pretty good or decent (for elementary specifically) but well below average ..but also dependent on kids attention spans and teachers working themselves to death putting extra effort into transforming lesson plans on line in exciting and effective ways . Also, that kids with poor attention spans or from lower income (where mom/ day can’t work from home ) would basically be left behind . That will break many teachers hearts. So often it came down to teachers age , outstanding health risks , and interaction with older family that couldn’t be avoided ..were factors in the teachers I spoke with who were concerned . Some of the teachers who were very well off and concerned simply took the year off, however given Revenue shortfalls coming and subsequent budget cuts and lack of a stimulus so far ..hopefully they can be rehired next year, but that is up in the air .

He didn’t have to pay back the loan principal itself did he? I believe as long as so much% was used toward payroll and perhaps “rent” they were more like grants Just for clarity (not with you ) but anyone else , The PPP program isn’t what the Treasury just killed , they killed a under used Fed lending facility to small businesses that was not initiating loans and dying businesses don’t want or need regular loans , they need more PPP lending (which isn’t paid back)