STILL N OF PIKE
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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE
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Looks like a bit of a loop se then s May occur N/NE of Bahamas (Well SE of Carolinas)
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That eye Wall or Dorian. Strongest ever reported by Josh. 185 sustained ....just a eye Wall of total devestation. Made Andrew look almost weak in comparison (185 to 160) Most of S FL doesn’t realize the bomb they dodged
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He lost power for a day and couldn’t play video games last tornado so he is the anti Bruce Shwoeglar now
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I had high confidence pressure was 940’s ... it as much in winds catching up already
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More this thing is undergoing RI , it’s pretty clear plane will have center fix with winds by 8pm thats 140 EZ Its one of the nicer cores I’ve seen . This aint a 3 now
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This is clearly a 4 now IMO
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Afternoon models are so crucial for Florida to where the Slow down and north turn occur as usual Bahamas could see brunt and stall
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New development w Euro Ens was a ridge breaking down faster and several members curving this north East of state
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Euro Has not run but I Am very interested in where the turn west occurs alllnensembles turned Dorian South of 26.5 N (unless im reading map wrong ) inbelieve models underdo the quickness of the turn as well as when they’ve sniffed out a slight WSW dip it also tends to be underdone on modeling Equally concerning is the stall on CMC\UkMET on 0z models just inland . That throws a wrench in
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So Palm City - Port St.Lucie
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Such a strong forecast turn at a longitude as Far East as forecast leaves a lot of room for error imo . Maybe models will be consistent next 48 on Strenth of ridge but also where this does its turn
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I lived in S Fl for a long while they have been exponentially lucky in Broward and South Palm beach county for 50 years . 5-0 So much money along the water. Super wealth Do you believe this will expand significantly in size or remain rather small until a possible landfall
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Ya i was trying to see what size it’s forecast to be in 96-120 hours it’s tiny now
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Interesting to see if the ridge orientation 72-120 hours out takes on a pure W-E orientation or even possibly shifts to create a WSW motion . Also what latitude it’s at when it turns west and feels the ridge makes all the difference The fact this barely entered Caribbean really helped this become a disaster in THe making (avoiding land) and less favorable conditions
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My worst post my bad This storm looks frightening as it has shifted so Far East that it went from crossing Hispaniola to going currently East of Puerto Rico as it strengthens .
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I may Chase Dorian if it goes Cat 2 + 300$ round trip to FL
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We need a golf GTG im in!
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That’s wasnt ever a question, with a small system will probably make a cane east of Caribbean, don’t see it surviving Caribbean
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Euro puts 98L to bed ulmet is so bad it decided to not run there goes 3 days of F’N swells F#<^
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Let’s see if Euro puts 98L to bed only model still taking this into more than moderate tropical storm unless UKIE bounces back this half hour
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Tropical depression 5 ...forecast to become a hurricane as it crosses NE Caribbean that is an example of the POLITICS of forecasting . Caribbean Looks hostile l and would be lucky to make it thru as Tropical storm but IMO bc it’s close to islands Stewart is going with HRFW? And Cat 1. Good luck
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The Ukmet no longer has a deep system Thr icon no longer has a deep system The Euro still has a deep system offshore
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Can someone QUE the Shwoegler Youtube “get in the basement vid /blizzard 78 redux”
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So No dungeons and dragons
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Sandy Want in the hello does this have to do with Sandy. Mine as well board up your house August -November Im following this for Surf
