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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Gonna go first call 8.1” for ORD. Nice shift south of some guidance with the 12z runs. Starting to get a nice consensus on a corridor of 9-15” from MO/IA up into the LOT CWA. .
  2. 1.1" at ORD and here on the 15th. 1.5" ORD and 2.5" here on the 17th.
  3. ~50dbz in the band of snow in the LOT CWA...
  4. Decent shift north of most guidance with this system now. The UKMET is the farthest NW, with accums even to cycloneville. ECMWF is the farthest SE, with a DAB only to ORD. Most guidance did shift north though, enough to put much of the metro in play for some accums now.
  5. Now that we're well past the last 80+ day on record...It's safe to mention 2018 will finish tied for the 3rd most 80+ days in a year for Chicago, with 101 such days. Most 80+ Days In A Year: 103 - 2005 102 - 2007 102 - 1953 101 - 2018 101 - 2012 101 - 1963 101 - 1944 100 - 1991 98 - 2010 98 - 1987 98 - 1955
  6. High confidence in a DAB and the first measurable snow of the season around here. .
  7. The high was indeed 88, at ORD and MDW yesterday. .
  8. ORD was still at 80 as of the 1AM OBS last night, before showers and storms moved through with the front. .
  9. Shear is definitely still an issue, in addition to some dry air entertainment too as seen on WV.
  10. Looking at satellite, there appears to be some southerly shear still affecting the storm. Outflow is a bit restricted on the south side of the storm, with the southerly shear evident to the south as well. This seems to have been a problem for the past 24-36hrs.
  11. could have something in common...failure. especially when it landfalls as a cat 1 in sc after meandering offshore for days.
  12. CDO is once again fairly lopsided, with cloud tops on the western side showing steady warming. Shear is definitely still an issue.
  13. figured there was a reason behind you being so quiet. at least he's chasing one of the two.
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