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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Today once looked like it would hit 90-91, but instead cloud debris moved in and limited ORD to only 87. Tomorrow has the potential for mid-90's, but once again cloud debris may end up being an issue.
  2. One of the warmest max and min temps on record for the 4th of July for Chicago this year... Warmest 4th of July High Temps: 102 - 2012 102 - 1911 98 - 1949 96 - 1990 96 - 1977 95 - 1921 95 - 1919 95 - 1901 94 - 2003 94 - 1971 94 - 1969 94 - 1913 94 - 1897 93 - 2018 93 - 1999 Warmest 4th of July Low Temps: 80 - 1921 79 - 2012 79 - 1999 78 - 1911 78 - 1897 77 - 1990 77 - 1913 76 - 2018 75 - 1901 75 - 1900
  3. PNT is back at it again... 90/80/108 currently.
  4. Looks like a daily chance of 90's and storms Tue-Thur around here.
  5. The severe threat just isn’t going to work out around here today. I was optimistic leading in to today, but it’s pretty clear the lack of shear will mitigate any real threat. The main disturbance ended up rapidly push NE up towards Lake Superior today. What’s left is an outflow dominant line of storms.
  6. For a while it looked like it might be close, but not it's looking more unlikely. Tue-Thur should be 90+ though still, with Thur being the warmest day.
  7. SPC did a downright horrible job yesterday. Not only how they handled outlooks, but also watch issuance. Goes to show how reliant on CAM’s they are. CAM’s showed absolutely nothing yesterday, even while the even was unfolding. The HRRR really didn’t catch on until around noon in showing anything.
  8. Will revise to 92 for Sunday, given guidance has come back faster with the fropa now.
  9. Right now I think I'll go 96 Fri/Sat/Sun for ORD, with a peak DP during the period of 78. Tomorrow has the coolest start out of the 3 days, but will feature by far the warmest UA temps. Sat/Sun have warmer starts, but cooling UA temps each passing day, and Sun has compressional heating potential with the front approaching. The wild cards will be the MCS/OFB/cloud debris potential for Fri, and then potential cloud debris issues on Sun as well.
  10. As of now it looks like 4 tors confirmed from yesterday. 1 near Hinckley, 2 near Manhattan and 1 near Rantoul. With better lapse rates and a bit more shear/CAPE, definitely could have been a much more significant event.
  11. Looks like a ROM marginal risk day, unfortunately.
  12. Looks like this season will come down to June. Given trends and what has happened thus far, one can't really be that excited, but we'll see...
  13. There really wasn't any tor potential today...But I ended up drifting west for the heck of it this afternoon, and ended up on the supercell that moved near DKB. Encountered a lowering, though not much rotation. It did have some mid-level rotation at the time per radar though. Also picked up some dime size hail.
  14. Decent CAPE/DP/Lapse Rates/Shear combo today, which should lead to scattered severe storms this afternoon/evening. Few OFB's around from overnight/morning activity as well.
  15. As expected, tonight is not slight worthy. Tomorrow night and Monday look much more interesting.
  16. I agree with elevated hailers for Saturday night, as well as tonight...but it’s more marginal worthy. .
  17. The slight risk this far west is definitely overdone.
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