Big changes again, in a positive way. Southern trough ends up going neutral tilt earlier yet again, and this run closed off 500mb over C. Kansas by 51hr. Slower a bit as you mentioned, do the the aforementioned. .
Grasping straws instance, but the long range RAP is even further north with the trough as ejects out into the Plains and is more neutral tilt earlier. SLP is way up in S. Kansas.
Edit: Might have to click to loop.
For that time-frame, yes...but before that it is identical, and after that it's actually a bit south.
Seems like it started to push ENE, then got shunted east, as did the trough...similar to the GGEM
Very odd overall. The trough out west was so far north of 12z, then it just got kicked east. Haven't looked into it, but I'm guessing lack of phasing or some other reason.
If you think the 0z NAM is north, try the 0z RGEM...
It only goes to 48hrs, but it has a 999mb SLP over OKC at 48hr. The NAM is ~1003MB near Fredrick, OK along the Red River.
One big observation on the 0z NAM is that the following wave crashing into the PAC NW is actually helping lower heights with the Western ridge. This might help kick our the southern trough, possibly northeast a bit eventually.
NAM definitely going to be better and probably north.
Southern wave is stronger, neutral tilt trough sooner, more ridging over Midwest/OV and less ridging over Western states earlier.
Nice jump from previous runs in earlier hours. There's actually a greater number of them above the mean as well.
They also have a period of 1-4"/hr snowfall rates Friday night/Saturday morning. The mean is closer to 1-2"/hr.