Chicago Storm
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm
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I'd just about rule out decent accumulations down there as well at this point, unfortunately.
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I'd wait till 0z's tomorrow evening for here and out your way. I-80 on south can throw it in now though.
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18z GFS is going north too.
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Trough this run actually went neutral tilt earlier, thus a bit farther north solution.
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Most 12z ECMWF ENS's are around or to the south of the OP track.
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6-9” CID, 3-6” IOW. So right around there is the gradient. .
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The 12z ECMWF was south of the 6z run. 10-15” across N. Illinois this run. .
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Longevity of the most severe cold has definitely trended back to a significant degree.
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Good news is that even the GFS with the miss north for the hybrid storm, still has lows in the -30's and highs in the -20's on Wed.
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Some of the moving pieces were sampled for today's 12z runs, with more for the 0z runs tonight and 12z runs tomorrow. Full sampling will be done for 0z runs tomorrow night.
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It may correct south, but I think it's safe to say the farthest south the main/heaviest snowfall axis will set up is I-80.
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Ends up very close to MKE.
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12z GFS gonna be a bit north and stronger.
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6z ECMWF only goes out to 90hrs. The 0z ENS also shifted north and shorter duration as well. .
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It’s a hybrid system, and it’ll have plenty of moisture to work with. .
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Furthest north out of any run yet I believe. .
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6z ECMWF jumper north, with a track between the IL/WI border and ORD. .
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Late January-Early February Clipper Train
Chicago Storm replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I’d agree with that. Then 1-3” near and south of I-80. . -
On the ECMWF the 12"+ axis is the two northern tiers of counties in N. IL and the two southern tier in S. WI...So fairly wide.
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We seem to be seeing agreement on an SLP track somewhere around I-80. While sampling won't be until 0z Saturday evening runs, tomorrow might be the last shot to keep you in the game given trends.
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0z ECMWF with a significant step back regarding the cold next week.
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12-18" IL/WI border.
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0z ECMWF is coming in north, stronger and wetter.
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My early pick would be RPJ.
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Gotta go big or go home. But yea, odds of -20 or colder are getting close to lock status.
