Chicago Storm

18z Euro...

A few stats I pulled for nearby areas. Based on guidance, many of these are in play...and some an easy lock. .....Chicago..... Snowiest October Days: 3.8" - 10/19/1989 & 3.0" - 10/20/1952 Snowiest Halloween: 0.1" - 2014 Snowiest Octobers: 6.3" - 1989 & 4.4" - 1967 .....Rockford..... Snowiest October Days: 5.0" - 10/23/1929 & 2.0" - 10/27/1925 + 10/29/1917 Snowiest Halloween: 0.1" - 2014 Snowiest Octobers: 5.0" - 1929 & 3.0" - 1917 .....Moline..... Snowiest October Days: 6.5" - 10/26/1967 & 2.9" - 10/25/1898 Snowiest Halloween: T - 1954/1939/1926/1918/1917/1908 Snowiest Octobers: 6.6" - 1967 & 2.9" - 1898 .....(Already at 1.1" on this month to date) .....Peoria..... Snowiest October Days: 3.3" - 10/23/1929 & 1.9" - 10/29/1925 Snowiest Halloween: T - 1918 Snowiest Octobers: 3.3" - 1929 & 1.9" - 1925 .....Milwaukee..... Snowiest October Days: 3.7" - 10/18/1989 & 2.6" - 10/20/1989 Snowiest Halloween: 0.4" - 1926 Snowiest Octobers: 6.3" - 1989 & 4.0" - 1976 .....(Already at 0.3" on this month to date)

Pulling a bunch of stats right now for select cities in the area...and as modeled, this is going to be a historic/record breaking event.

Won't even need much wind, given the leaf situation as of now. Probably will be tree damage tonight alone if there is an axis of 3-6".

There's no flooding to track.

Easy over a DAB. .

I can’t read confirmed. .

Backing off that 1-2” call, huh? .

Seems to be the new trend with guidance, as the 12z Euro is following...though not to as severe of a degree.

ORD finished with 2.22”. .

Seems way over-done based on surrounding reports.

1.54” ORD now. Very efficient rainfall for sure. High PWAT’s from Olga are doing work. .

Same here further northwest. There has been higher leaf drop here today with the rain, so I’m sure that is definitely playing a roll. Especially since we’re only sitting at just over 1” here. .

Long track of high winds and wind damage along the track of the COC of Olga. Still not sure why things are being treated as severe t’storms though. .

Side note, I find it funny that NWS is issuing severe t’storm warnings, instead of general wind headlines. .

The COC is holding together fairly well, and actually looks better than it did when it made landfall. There has also been widespread high winds/damage near the COC. Tupelo, MS gusted to 71MPH a bit earlier. .

Probably deserves its own thread, especially considering the rarity. .

Given how the upper air pattern is trending, any snow from both systems will likely be limited to IA/WI/MI.

GFS has trended towards the Euro with the first system, keeping and minor snow to IA/WI. Seems to be agreement among most guidance now with 2nd system as well, with snows for mainly IA/WI and pets of IL/MI potentially. .

Some guidance, such as the below HRRR, is really going all in... .

That’s actually very interesting. Even thought it’s later in the season and more significant troughs would hinder further north/west tracks...would have figured there would have been at least a few up into the region this late. .

I’m turning over a new leaf. Following in the footsteps of brother Alek. .

This new you is too optimistic. Not sure how I feel about it.

Jinxed.