Chicago Storm
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm
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-27 BCK. -23 to -25 at several sites in C. & S. Wisconsin.
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0.40" wouldn't put down 4-6" though, as ratios would be 10:1 to less, with not the best thermal profiles.
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3-5" snows are redundant after a while.
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0z GEFS a bit north and a bit drier again.
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0z FV runs from just north of DBQ to MKE, so north as well.
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That would probably track north of MSP.
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Only low-res maps out for now, but looks like 0z UKMET runs along the IL/WI border.
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BCK -25 currently.
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It bumped north on the 18z run, so wouldn't be surprised if it continued.
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0z GGEM came north. Tracks along IL/WI border.
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Runs east along IA/MN border...which likely means it will pass over or north of MKE.
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0z GFS is coming north. System in Canada is stronger and east.
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Temps tanking tonight...-10 to -12 across NW Illinois currently. This will likely spread as more clearing occurs across N. Illinois.
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0z RGEM only goes out to 48hr...but it would be way north. At 48hr SLP is just west of Fargo, ND...and is on a heading to go towards MSP. Yes, I said MSP.
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Random question, what do you personally think the max amount you can see iyby is?
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I'd disagree. The Hudson PV lobe was farther west this run, and with a faster system, it had nowhere to go...and it still had the PV lobe coming down immediately behind it. Have to watch for that in future runs, as that could be another potential issue.
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That's been shown for a while now. Main system shears out as it's squashed by both PV lobes, however that run.
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The combination of the PV lobe south of the Hudson being further west, plus the wave/storm faster and a bit south likely means this run comes in south overall with the system.
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0z NAM coming in stronger and faster in Canada.
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Late January-Early February Clipper Train
Chicago Storm replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
0.7" at ORD and here with todays clipper. -
18z ECMWF came in a bit north. SLP previously tracked south of I-80 in IL, now tracks along I-80.
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18z GEFS jumped north as well.
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Just quickly glancing at it, one difference I see is the wave is a bit less amped and more positive tilt longer than more northern guidance. There's probably more to it, but that's was just a quick glance. 18z ECMWF will be out after 5PM sometime.
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Late January-Early February Clipper Train
Chicago Storm replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Have had a steady light snow here for the past couple of hours. -
Quite true. Record chaser 4 lyfe here though.
