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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    background state NAO -1 just like the early 2000s!
  2. LibertyBell
    It actually started on Jan 31. It annoys me to no end that February gets screwed out of 2 inches of snow and January gets 2 inches of snow it didn't deserve because it has an extra day it shouldn't have. I never understood why February was limited to 28/29 days....why the hate for this awesome month? My calendar that I came up with would be much more balanced and February would get 2 extra days, one from January and one from March! My calendar: January.....30 days February...... 30 days (31 days in leap years) March......... 30 days April......... 30 days May......... 31 days June........ 30 days July......... 31 days August....... 31 days September...... 30 days October...... 31 days November...... 30 days December...... 31 days Much easier to remember!
  3. LibertyBell
    two snow axes, one south and one north?
  4. LibertyBell
    This season has had an amazing amount of Greenland blocking- do you think this might be the case for several years since this looks like a phase change has occurred?
  5. LibertyBell
    Sounds like Dec 2020
  6. LibertyBell
    wow shades of Feb 1899! Lake effect and gulf effect snow!
  7. LibertyBell
    It can snow in April in Texas?! Was that the same storm that dumped snow on us in April 1996?
  8. LibertyBell
    wow Seattle seeing a NYC like boom in snowfall now. The era of extremes is here! Hopefully we hit 111.1 in the summer
  9. LibertyBell
    what if the first wave comes farther north than expected? thats been the theme of the winter
  10. LibertyBell
    sleet wont arrive until nightfall
  11. LibertyBell
    I think we should be good for a 4 inch snow here.
  12. LibertyBell
    March 2015 was my heaviest March event since 2009. We had a 6" in April 2018 too. I like April snows more than March ones.
  13. LibertyBell
    what do you think about the Monday event?
  14. LibertyBell
    wow you got about half of what the western part of the south shore got. Thats why you need to live in Nassau County to stop the taint from the ocean- or limit it anyway.
  15. LibertyBell
    They were my favorite kinds of snowstorms- playing baseball in the snow in April 1996 was a classic! We had a 6" snowstorm in April just a couple of years ago, I think it was 2018?
  16. LibertyBell
    I love early April snow. It doesn't stay on the ground very long so doesn't inconvenience travel and looks really pretty on the trees!
  17. LibertyBell
    I heard the Dallas area was getting "lake effect snow"! Has that ever happened before?
  18. LibertyBell
    Arent these abnormally warm SSTs associated with snow bombs? I mean a few years ago we were talking about the January snow bomb happening because of abnormally warm SST so why would they result in a more tucked in track now vs a few years ago?
  19. LibertyBell
    what do you think of this talk of a PV insertion in early March and a return to much colder weather, Chris? FWIW looks like we have two snow events to go through before the current pattern breaks, the one on Thursday and then one more next Monday. NYC should get over 40" on the season with those and JFK will be somewhere in the 30s"
  20. LibertyBell
    I remember when I first came across BNL snowfall data back in 1995-96 I thought it was on an entirely different island lol. It's so different from JFK, BNL has much more of a New England climate and does much better in storms that also benefit New England the most. But if you go over the entire climate record, say back to the 60s or however far back records go at both locations, it probably evens out, dont you think? A 35" average is amazing, much closer to Boston than it is to NYC. I bet JFK's average is like 25" if that.
  21. LibertyBell
    I've never bought into this nina/nino climo stuff as I've seen a wide range out outcomes with each phase, not enough evidence to favor one over the other. Besides we're in a much different climate pattern now vs 50 years ago so I doubt what applied then still applies anymore. Our best and worst winters and biggest snowstorms have occurred in each phase and at all times of the season. People try to simplify LR forecasting too much when they rely on just one thing when in reality a vast array of competing factors determine the outcome.
  22. LibertyBell
    The first week of March, I told you to watch out for it lol
  23. LibertyBell
    This seems like a more normal track for storms to take, I think if you averaged out all the different tracks storms could take this would be the most common for storms that affect our area... I'm not sure if the traditional benchmark tracks are "normal" as Islip's average annual snowfall is less than Newark's. The types of big bombs that we have gotten with those tracks are something you'd expect once a decade or so, not every year. We've got a high percentage of snow with these storms so it's all good.
  24. LibertyBell
    the Feb 1899 arctic outbreak was accompanied by a historic snowstorm, I believe the statehouse in Tallahassee saw 2 inches and even Tampa had measurable snow? All of the above arctic outbreaks had temps of 0 or below in NYC.
  25. LibertyBell
    cant even say it's because we're a coastal area because Houston is right near the gulf lol
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