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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    wow the blue and green go really well together, Nature has color coordination
  2. LibertyBell
    In a few decades they'll have to rename that park to Puddle National Park.
  3. LibertyBell
    The following winter we had that extremely cold and stormy 1993-94 winter (after we had our latest ever 80 degree high on November 15)....
  4. LibertyBell
    Roger, July 1993 had the most extreme and longest heatwave I've ever experienced....it was very cool and rainy (like yesterday) just a week before the heat came in, with a high/low of 66/62 on the 2nd, and a week after that we were in the middle of a 10 day heatwave, during which 100+ was reached 3 consecutive days (5 consecutive days at EWR, which includes two 105 days- their all time record at the time), we finished with a record 39 90+ days that summer and 20 of them in July!
  5. LibertyBell
    1979 and 1994 are the only ones on that list I've experienced and 1994 was a lot more snowy/icy than 1979 was and probably a lot more disruptive. 1968 is the only post 1940 year in the top 5.....
  6. LibertyBell
    wow 1917-18 is unmatched by a wide margin....what was going on that winter?!
  7. LibertyBell
    Might be a pattern that repeats....look at my June-July 1993 comparison
  8. LibertyBell
    Don what about this morning? Looks like JFK made it to 59?
  9. LibertyBell
    Not that dissimilar to July 1993. We hit 95-96 right after the Summer solstice that year in late June right down to the coast, then we had a cool, breezy, rainy day on July 2nd when the splits were 66/62 and a week after that we were in the middle of one of the greatest heatwaves the area has ever experienced with 10 straight days of 90+ and 3 straight days of 100+ (and EWR had 5 straight days of 100+!) We ended up with the hottest summer we've ever had with 39 90+ degree days with 20 of them coming in July. July 2nd became a distant memory.....
  10. LibertyBell
    it's very nonintuitive it should be at the bottom right where the quote button is
  11. LibertyBell
    Don, in July 1993, on the 2nd, didn't we have a cool rainy day similar to this one? I believe the high/low was 66/62.....and a week later we were baking in one of the greatest heatwaves the area has ever seen and a record hot summer with 39 90 degree days and 3 days at 100 or above!
  12. LibertyBell
    Love Lennon....if we all lived as "one" humanity would be far more advanced by now and not destroying the planet either.
  13. LibertyBell
    Right, nothing occurs in "isolation"
  14. LibertyBell
    I was wondering if our heat was somehow related to that, because there was a heat spike more than what was expected. 100 at LGA and 103 at EWR were monthly records in their own right.
  15. LibertyBell
    Here's a probability question- which was more rare the Pac NW extreme heat, or what happened in Siberia last year?
  16. LibertyBell
    Dont forget 1966, when the high temp records were set at LGA and JFK- also part of the 11 yr cycle
  17. LibertyBell
    I remember that spring break heat in March 1990 very clearly- and then we had snow in April that same here lol. I also remember the amazing heatwave in April 2002, one of my favorite summers followed and then a big snowfall winter.
  18. LibertyBell
    antitrust regs should be applied to political parties (and every other industry or cartel)
  19. LibertyBell
    I've seen their papers, they say they are past peak oil as of 2020, so hopefully this is about to begin, but the Exxon lobbyist who was recorded was not exactly looking forward. And then there's things like this going on:
  20. LibertyBell
    Now if we use NYC data, it's probably less likely because the climate on the east coast is becoming more humid as well as warmer. So warmer mins, but the maxes are leveling off. You see how long it's been since NYC, LGA or JFK has had an all-time max. 1936 for the former, 1966 for the latter two. I've been complaining about the lack of 100 degree heat here. Last really big summer heat period was the 2010-2013 series when we had 4 summers hit 100. Never did I think that Seattle could have an all-time high in excess of NYC's. That's like Seattle having an all-time record snow season in excess of NYC's record from 1995-96! We also have to consider the cycle of 11 years- the CONUS seems to get excessively hot summers (even for the current climate) in 11 year intervals. Do you think that could be at play here too? Looking at 1933,44,55,66,77,88,99,2010 and now 2021 they seem to be hot all across the country. 2010 was our summer of record heat. These 11 year cyclic summers seem to be getting hotter too as time goes on.
  21. LibertyBell
    Making a separate post regarding your edit. Right, because we want to find the likelihood of an all-time record high temperature. So the variance should be much less than it would be for a daily high.
  22. LibertyBell
    Yeah I remember doing this kind of work with bell curves lol. You just need to know what the value of 1 SD is and calculate the rest accordingly. I always thought that normals should be calculated this way- anything outside +/- 1 SD should be deemed above or below normal, not the strictly linear method we use now.
  23. LibertyBell
    I remember those 2014-18 years, Alaska was setting heat longevity records in those years, especially the last couple in that dataset. Was it Anchorage that had a record streak of 80+ days? 5 I think.
  24. LibertyBell
    Yes exactly- I think thats what the NWS was talking about in the excerpt posted by Don. Not for any specific location but globally it'll be a one in 10 year event soon. But I also saw you say that by the end of your life (let's just use 2100), you think this could be a 1 in 10 year event even specifically for the PNW?
  25. LibertyBell
    That makes sense (the new equilibrium) because new ice (first year ice) is the one which is most variable. Did the historic heat in Siberia last year have any influence on that, Will? There was a six month period in Siberia where the temps were +20 F above average and wildfires were happening there (and 100 degrees was recorded.)
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