LibertyBell

I wonder how much the solar min is affecting our temps this year. Those back to back 99s we had back in July, how much higher would the temps have been with a solar max? Does anyone know?

Back when I first started using analogs without even knowing what an analog was back in the late 80s and early 90s, I used the The Weather Almanac to look up previous years. The 1985 and 1990 editions of that book are what I had access too and there was no internet around back then. That book had monthly average temps for every year from 1951 through 1990 and I noticed that winters in which we had a large amount of snow (40" or more), we had an interesting couplet in fall. In all of those seasons October was below normal temps and November was above normal temps. It was a 6/6 using the following winters: 1955-56, 1957-58, 1960-61, 1963-64, 1966-67, 1977-78. We were in a long snow drought back then so I thought if we got that couplet again and it was followed by a very hot summer (which also seemed to be part of the equation), we had a chance at a great winter. That's why I was so excited when 1993 followed just such a pattern! And again in 1995, and this time with the aid of the tropics, which seemed so similar to 1933-34 with the predominantly offshore tracks. Of course, since 2000, something has changed and our winters are vastly different now, so the couplet correlation no longer seems to apply.

2014-15 with a better January 2015 storm would be ideal.

Wow, big difference between NYC, LGA and JFK. I wonder what the largest difference in temps between those sites have been when JFK had a freeze and the other two didn't.

Is there a chance that NYC will get the lowest first freeze temp? Not only that but the lowest temp after the previous seasonal low temp was 40 or higher?

If we get some kind of major or even moderate snowstorm this month lets see if your theory holds up that early season snow may be bad for us because when the pattern flips to mild it doesn't have enough time to flip back to cold and snowy again until half the season is over.

Wow, and it's never gotten to 25 or below before November has it? I see we also have chances for snow, we're going to be on the northern fringe of a storm- a good place to be right now lol.

Is Friday night going to be the coldest for this next cold spell? I see lows in the mid twenties that night!

Yep 2014 was the one which disappointed. I thought 2015 wasn't that good there either?

If we didn't have the solar min we definitely would have had widespread 100s this July on 2 days. As it is, we barely missed, even here on the coast.

I think you'd like lower humidity heat better

omg I saw that too! They showed how mammals went from mouse size to wolf size within 300,000 years after the mass extinction event at the end of the Cretaceous! All from eating a legume-based diet. It gave us a window into how life may evolve on other planets too.

it's a banter thread though. Either way i apologize for the harshness anyway my biggest issue with his statement, aside from his obvious lying was the usage of the word "superstorm." It upsets me to no end, some meteorologists use it and it isn't even a meteorology term. The insurance industry also used it as an excuse to try and give lower payments to victims of the storm. I also didn't like how hurricane warnings were dropped just as the storm was about to make landfall. I know we've reformed the system to fix it, but I think we should use the word hurricane for any storm with winds of 75+ mph and use the word tropical hurricane when referring specifically to storms that have a tropical structure. I say this because the word hurricane has a special weight with the public that "storm warning" does not. Also, we have tropical storm warnings and storm warnings, so we should have tropical hurricane warnings and hurricane warnings. In the same vein, we should use the term blizzard warning to refer to any snowstorm that dumps 12 inches or more snow over 24 hours. Winter storm warning is not a strong enough term for these storms. The midwest-style blizzards that are caused more by wind rather than snowfall amounts should get a ground blizzard warning, since they really are ground blizzards.

I hate humidity. Arizona is a lot better (much cleaner air too.) Flagstaff is a light pollution free city! Colorado if you want the best of all worlds (snow, clean air, low humidity, etc.)

If you dont like it, dont read it- it's that simple. I'm more concerned with the word "superstorm." There is no such thing.

As long as he bans more pipelines and fracking, I dont care what he says. The denialist types can move to another state where they get buried in fracking quakes or get blown up in pipeline explosions. I dont like that he said that, but the denialist types are far more ignorant, so he's just communicating to them on their level.

wasnt that a very strong el nino?

lol Lee Goldberg said the high next Friday will be 44 degrees, that means a guaranteed below freezing low at night, even in the middle of UHI

I also get pretty upset at the cutting down of a tree to put in Rockefeller Center. Why not just put a fake tree there or grow a real tree? I know we've been trying to get rid of UHI pollution by greening up rooftops, it would be nice to see more of the city go green.

Chris, which months in the 2010s have been below normal? Just November?

having a wet milder winter with more snowfall might actually be beneficial to plants like these since snow insulates them from the cold.

I dont know why some people have so much trouble with this concept. It's not hard to see how the industrial revolution has adversely affected the planet on a variety of levels. Patrick Moore puzzles me, he used to be associated with Green Peace. They kicked him out so he has an axe to grind with the planet? He probably isn't well-versed enough in science to know that higher CO2 means plants have less nutritive value- they lose their content of certain minerals that we need- like zinc and iron.

74 mph gust reported at Stony Brook- is that on an elevated platform again?

Crazy that places like Dallas and San Antonio got their first freeze before we did! Atlanta will likely also.

Crazy that it was +33 in Barrow, Alaska while it was -44 in Utah! Talk about jet stream extremes!