LibertyBell

I remember we had back to back days in the 90s as late as mid September as Cat 3 Hurricane Emily grazed Cape Hatteras and missed us wide right.

If that was year round that would mean we could still get a big winter (like they had in 1965-66 and 2009-10) but it would probably be a once in 30 year occurrence. Many more 90 degree days and perhaps a 100 degree high every year on average. Also scary to think about getting a TC hit up here likely every other year.

Walt I see our major media outlets predicting exactly that, a stalled front over our region and a developing low delivering flooding rains across NJ and NY on Saturday.

Weird, would you say our climate is evolving to more of a coastal Virginia kind of climate? I remember this brought up during the 2015-16 winter when JFK tied Norfolk as the only two locations that have had a 40 degree average winter temperature and 40 inches of snow.

wow 1993 was still setting records even this late in the summer

I cant wait until we get back to those extremely hot Sonoran Heat Pump summers! Aren't those our hottest summers for the entire area though? I saw that EWR has their hottest summers in that kind of situation too (1993, 2010). Get that 120 degree air to come all the way east, slightly modified of course.

That was one of my favorite fall days because it was a nice dry heat. It can get to 90 like that on a one and done day after Labor Day weekend, but to see three straight days of that is pretty rare. After the first week of September anyway.

This is likely our last heatwave of the year. It'll probably hit 90 at some point in the first half of September but this week probably has the last period of extended 90+ heat for the season.

Yeah I mean some of these people who are saying No must be thinking that August ends tomorrow lol. SEVEN DAYS LEFT IN THE MONTH FOLKS! It's almost impossible for it NOT to happen in our new climate.

WAR isn't really a heat pump, it's more of a humidity pump. Our truly hot summers come with a downsloping flow from the west which brings in true unadulterated pure heat. Haven't had that in almost a decade.

It already hit 90 here at noon and is approaching 91 here now. But Thursday and Friday wont be as hot as these two days because the wind will come off the waters. This is very likely the last heatwave of the year (September starts next Wednesday), although we'll very likely get at least 1 90 degree high in September, even out here, and an outside shot at 2, but a heatwave in September is extremely unlikely here.

Our recycling methods aren't exactly where they should be either.

what about this? https://scied.ucar.edu/learning-zone/sun-space-weather/sunspot-cycle 11-year Cycle - Usually! The duration of the sunspot cycle is, on average, around eleven years. However, the length of the cycle does vary. Between 1700 and the present, the sunspot cycle (from one solar min to the next solar min) has varied in length from as short as nine years to as long as fourteen years. Note, however, that of the 26 solar cycles during that three-century span, 21 had a length between ten and twelve years. Arriving at a precise count of sunspots is not as straightforward as it might appear. Some spots are much larger than others, some sunspots partially merge together at their edges, and many spots appear in groups. In 1848 a Swiss astronomer named Rudolf Wolf devised an algorithm for making consistent counts of sunspots that allows comparisons between data from different observers across the centuries. The sunspot count derived using Wolf's formula, now known as the Wolf sunspot number, is still in use today. Wolf used data from earlier astronomers to reconstruct sunspot counts as far back as the 1755-1766 cycle, which he dubbed "cycle 1". Since then, subsequent cycles have been numbered consecutively, so the cycle that began with the 2008 solar minimum is cycle 24.

well it also happens in the winter on cold nights lol

Walt analog 1944 for heat and September east coast TC Secondary analog 1999

How hard could it be to get 0.35" of rain? Remember folks we have 7 days or a FULL WEEK to go. It isn't that hard. This ain't Tucson lol.

Looks like no sea breeze again today so JFK and I should both hit 90 at least!

lol time to spray Agent Orange there.

I love the EWR list because I find their top list is closer to what our climate really is than LGA which is much more polluted by high min from UHI. EWR list definitely matches how I experience heat, which is that my two hottest summers were 2010 and 1993. Does JFK's top list also match EWR's? (I would add 1983 and 2002 to the list too.)

all hail 1983 it's #1 on so many lists lol

I have a specific definition for hot summer and I wont stray from it because those are the summers I remember, not these hot min fake heat summers. I find those to be mediocre. For EWR/LGA 45+ 90 degree days and at least 1 100+ high For NYC 30+ 90 degree highs and at least 1 100+ high For JFK 20+ 90 degree highs and at least 1 100+ high How many summers meet my criteria?

It doesn't mean that other summers can't be hot, of course they can, but the majority of the country has seen some of its hottest summers in this 11 year cycle, What convinced me is a map of temperature anomalies for the entire CONUS for 11 year cycle summers starting from 1933; it's wall to wall red.

The phrase derives from the full sentence, "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics."; it was popularized in the United States by Mark Twain and others, who mistakenly attributed it to the British prime minister Benjamin Disraeli. ...

Definitely shows how all "data" isn't created equal. Didn't the great Mark Twain have a quote about statistics that has stood the test of time? Also, while you're here Chris, how much ocean water usage (desalination) would we need to neutralize sea level rise and solve all our drought and wild fire problems? Tell you what, with sea level rise happening, these ugly high dew points and droughts and wild fires in the West, I would seriously consider more efficient desalinization machines being built so we can use the water from the oceans. It would be a muscular move to solve multiple problems at once- if we were able to use enough ocean water at a high enough rate we could solve our drought problems and negate sea level rise at the same time. The question is how long it will be when we have machines powerful enough to desalinate water from the oceans and use it and take it out fast enough to negate sea level rise.

Wow JFK hasn't had a 60" rainfall year or a 70" snowfall season (69 inches in 1995-96, damn that April storm which underperformed we missed by an inch! I'm sure they undermeasured that season though, they all did.) I thought we got 10" in that August 2011 weekend rainy day too.....do you happen to have the totals for JFK from that event? I'm pretty sure we all had 10" on the south shore of Nassau County. edit- I see it now, 7.72. I guess southern Queens got less than we did. That was more than they got in Irene though right? And about the same JFK got in the rains we had the past 3 days? I wonder if 7.72 was close to their 24 hour or total storm records though.