LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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I see so that was similar to PD2 and Jan 2016....our biggest snows seem to come from storms like that.
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well the amounts are somewhat cut back for my specific part of SW Nassau I went from 10" to 7"
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Everything old is new again. Seems like ages ago from that initial run lol.
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The Three Stooges lol. The Euro needs to give them all the eye poke
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I love all the colors and the fact that they're right side up
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lol at snowman weenieing all these posts, he's in a frenzy tonight
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the state of meteorology just sucks, no wonder the public doesn't believe anything related to meteorology or climate lol
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as in it could even be a nowcast bust (positive or negative)
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it would be comical if there was a "division by zero" error buried deep in the algorithms of one or more of these models lol. Probably much more complex errors than that, but you get the picture.
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yes a true nowcast event....we remember all the busts but there have been a few positive surprises too
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similarities to the great Jan 1996?
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Exactly what I just said. I am extremely doubtful of any forecasts for this because of minute changes resulting in a huge difference....this could be a true nowcast event. What is the average model error day of the event? 10 miles? That might be enough to cause a big difference in the final result.
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Little changes have a big impact, I would be extremely doubtful of any model forecast, this might end up being a true nowcast event.
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but the final outcome is very similar, so now we have a variety of ways to get the same outcome 1-3 NW, 3-6 NYC, 6-12 Long Island
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lol different way to get there, but the ultimate solution is the same. At this point I think it's safe to forecast 3-6 for the city and 6-12 for Long Island going west to east....a variety of ways to get there. 1-3 NW of Newark
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so this is option number 4? I thought closing off south was supposed to be a good thing lol
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Must be a NAM run from an alternate universe lol
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it's all a ploy for ratings lol
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thanks, it sounds exactly like a tidal wave the way I picture it in my mind, when the tide flows it carries material to the shore, when it ebbs it doesn't
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positively NAMed as opposed to the negatively NAMed like we had earlier
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but what is it that causes the energy to hang back in the SW in such a progressive pattern? In a progressive pattern shouldn't everything be moving?
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I mean I have nothing to complain about, I spent a few hours shoveling rock hard concrete at my other house last weekend. I always get snow at one or the other-- usually it's at the other one.
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Someone needs to go postal on these models. They are schizoid.
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8.9 inches at JFK is an unusually exact amount to project days out I mean it would be unusual to project that hours out, but days out is even more perplexing.
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I thought being progressive is good because it means the energy gets ejected sooner?
