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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
so now you believe this could be entirely snow during the day at least for NYC/Western LI? -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Many more of them in the last 30 years or so. The last time was 11 years ago at the previous peak of the cycle which also happened to be the earliest on record. Yes, it was in 2010 lol.....April 7th, the same day we had a snowstorm in 2003, we hit 92 in 2010 (both years were big on snowfall but ended differently.) -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Okay so this plus something in March. Based on your stats it seems like there would be a 50% chance of NYC getting 6" of snow in March. -
I feel like this is just as rare as NYC hitting -10. So maybe there is hope one day of that happening too.
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I'm counting on the 11 yr cycle of very hot summers holding true again this year and typically you get hot weather in such seasons beginning in April. There might be some snow in March, probably less than or equal to 6" but I expect to see 90 degrees beginning in April and frequently thereafter. I'd also expect the summer to be dry, which is usually the case with these 11 yr cycles. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
would this be enough to get NYC to 40"? JFK getting to 30" for sure -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
sounds like VD 2007 -
Do you wish you were there right now?
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I dont think those girls want to see snow either.
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Still no real explanation for the rapid rise in the AO. Was it because of the MJO?
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we still have time to reach number 1
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I'm hearing there's also a good possibility of lake effect snow from Lake Pontchartrain? Wow, I guess the last time that happened was also in 1899? Don this is much rarer than what happened on Xmas in 2004 isn't it?
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background state NAO -1 just like the early 2000s!
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It actually started on Jan 31. It annoys me to no end that February gets screwed out of 2 inches of snow and January gets 2 inches of snow it didn't deserve because it has an extra day it shouldn't have. I never understood why February was limited to 28/29 days....why the hate for this awesome month? My calendar that I came up with would be much more balanced and February would get 2 extra days, one from January and one from March! My calendar: January.....30 days February...... 30 days (31 days in leap years) March......... 30 days April......... 30 days May......... 31 days June........ 30 days July......... 31 days August....... 31 days September...... 30 days October...... 31 days November...... 30 days December...... 31 days Much easier to remember!
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
two snow axes, one south and one north? -
This season has had an amazing amount of Greenland blocking- do you think this might be the case for several years since this looks like a phase change has occurred?
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sounds like Dec 2020 -
wow shades of Feb 1899! Lake effect and gulf effect snow!
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It can snow in April in Texas?! Was that the same storm that dumped snow on us in April 1996?
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wow Seattle seeing a NYC like boom in snowfall now. The era of extremes is here! Hopefully we hit 111.1 in the summer
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
what if the first wave comes farther north than expected? thats been the theme of the winter -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
sleet wont arrive until nightfall -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I think we should be good for a 4 inch snow here. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
March 2015 was my heaviest March event since 2009. We had a 6" in April 2018 too. I like April snows more than March ones. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
what do you think about the Monday event?