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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. and the big black out! didnt have that again until 2004..... and then in Sandy that one was the longest- 25 hours
  2. I remember seeing images from the north with snow looking like mountain ranges with cars driving in the "valleys" I wonder what the highest annual average snowfall total is from a location at sea level?
  3. and early season heat! lots of extremes there. 1977 had the second highest temp recorded in NYC at 104, tied in 2011.
  4. yup and this time he's going for 5-9, down from 6-10 yesterday
  5. Lee Goldberg just called out Upton, it was awesome. He said Mt Holly handled it right with the Winter Storm Warning and Upton divided the storm into two different time periods (Thursday and Friday) when in fact most of the event will occur on Thursday. He said better coordination is needed between the offices and what Upton did was "confusing."
  6. forgot about the record cold lol. I cant help but think if storms like Dec 1992 and Feb 1989 occurred in today's climate there'd be a lot more snow. I mean if you superimpose the tracks of those storms compared to what we've had this season, you'd say those should be big snowstorms for us.
  7. I guess you dont like early April snow to hold back the allergy season
  8. I liked the storm in 1992 a lot better where we got 8-10 inches and there was much less both east and west of us that was a 30 hour snowstorm here!
  9. do they get coastal storms more intense than ours? I wonder why Tokyo doesn't get more snow lol
  10. it sounds like you experienced the same cut off we did. The airport itself had some snow, it might have been 8 or 10. But the cut off really was that extreme
  11. that must have been 1999 in 1998 we had less than one inch for the entire winter until 5" a surprise snowfall on the first day of spring.
  12. what went wrong is they got the forecast wrong lol, overreliance on unreliable models for our loss.
  13. Feb 1989 predicted to be 6-8 but it was all virga, 20 inches ACY, 10 inches PHL and 2-5" on the eastern end of LI, nothing west of ISP. Dec 1989 also predicted to be a 6-8 event in a historically cold month but it warmed up during the storm and we got 90% rain lol
  14. yes a similar thing happened in 10-11 but January was much snowier and colder that time.
  15. This is a great thing hopefully now people will start doing some actual thinking instead of being enso fundamentalists, which is why long range forecasts have always bene so inaccurate.
  16. this is a lot better than the "colder" arctic shots of the 80s, we have much more snow than we did back then because the arctic shots dont cover the entire nation and theres an active storm track on their boundaries.
  17. a few years ago (also in a "la nina") we had four snowstorms in March and one in April.
  18. I think the 11 year cycle will be more likely than late season cold- 1977 might be a better analog if you're going to use the 70s.
  19. forecasting based on ENSO was the reason long range forecasts are SO inaccurate- I hope we've all learned our lesson!
  20. didnt we also have this a few years ago in March and early April as well as back in 1955-56? I think it's high time we stop thinking in el nino la nina terms, there's a lot more important things going on
  21. because that historically has happened several times, the mixing only happens after most of the snow has already fallen and that area has the highest precip totals which matters more than like 20% mixing (if that). It's not that unusual, that's why coastal Central NJ jackpots so often.
  22. Should've trusted that -5 AO over what models were showing a few days ago
  23. what time is the heaviest snow supposed to occur? This is really starting to remind you of the first storm in Feb 1994 isn't it?
  24. No I just mean I dont want to shoot at ISO 5000 to get nice images lol. I thought the better accumulations at night thing only happens when we're past March 15th lol.
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