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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
But then to play devil's advocate Don, why is the west drying out while the east is getting wetter? What is driving the discrepancy and as the world warms up even more will the moisture make it all the way to the west coast and will they start getting excessive rainfall eventually too? -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
I've been saying this for awhile! Which is why climate change is a much more appropriate term than global warming. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Those are some excellent questions, my friend! I suspect we could make good use of the salt and other minerals in the water. I think we would have to use a lot of water, maybe more than we would currently be capable of to reduce ocean levels by a lot, but you never know, we already use more resources than the planet is capable of replenishing (we passed that point in the 70s, right now we are using the resources of 1.7 earths, meaning we are spending more than we have the resources to buy.....) -
Happened on Long Island in October 2005 (two feet of rain)
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Going into the 50s the next two nights even in the city YAY
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Highest rainfall rate was 5" per HR
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7 Tornadoes...... 4 in PA 3 in NJ...... EF3 in Mullica Hills, NJ..... 150 MPH
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Yep October 2005 events were stretched out over a few weeks. We almost beat the September 1882 monthly record (did on LI where up to 2 feet of rainfall happened), the monthly record was eventually set in August 2011....don't forget about the big rainfall event that month prior to Irene. That maxed out here (10" in 12 hours), also I don't know how your area did in August 2014 when Islip got the state record with 14" in less than 3 hours.
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April 2007 was ranked second in NYC behind Sept 1882. We never seem to be able to top that 24 hr record from Sept 1882 no matter how frequent these extreme events seem to be getting. Oh well, maybe next time?
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The question is are they happening more frequently now? Well, to answer that in a different way, our average precip seems to be going way up if you compare 30 year precip norms now vs let's say a few decades ago. I hate it. There is nothing I dislike more than sticky, muggy tropical humid weather lol.
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Yes, we've had three of these so far this season already. All rain events. Had 2 last year. But one of those more of a wind event than a rain event (Isaias). Depends on what side of the storm you're on. Isaias last year had a very Sandy-like feel (in terms of wind, not surge of course) and was relatively dry here on the eastern side. Did see reports of tornadoes on the Jersey shore. Nothing like the two EF3 we have had this summer though.
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I have a prime example of another event like that which was about 80 miles further east.....I don't know if you can obtain the precip maps to this one but if you can, look up the Islip deluge from August 2014. Very comparable in terms of max rainfall but it was shifted 80 miles to the east. Close to 14 inches of rain in 3 hours. The standing state record. There's also the August 2011 extreme rainfall event (pre Irene), that was centered 25 miles east of the city (in my area), 10 inches of rain in less than 6 hours.
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None lol. I'm saying we need to develop one like this, it would be similar to the Modified Mercalli scale for earthquakes (vs the Richter scale.) The relative classes would signify how extreme (and rare) something is vs the worst that could happen (reasonably) and has to also take into account the physical size of the area impacted.
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If you had to bet, have we seen the last of the 90s? For NYC and JFK at least?