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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    not so sure any sleet is going to arrive and Goldberg even mentioned our south shore might be in the jackpot zone with or without any mixing. any mixing will be too little too late
  2. LibertyBell
    Lee Goldberg 5-10 widespread
  3. LibertyBell
    looks like it also makes it to the south shore of long island!
  4. LibertyBell
    hmmm two storms that come to mind with that description was one of the storms in Dec 2002 that dropped 6 inches of snow before a changeover at the end and the SWFE from Feb 2008 I think it was that dropped 6-8 inches here, highest amounts near 8 inches in SW Nassau. Only changed over to drizzle at the end.
  5. LibertyBell
    I guess we're all staying up for the euro now lol. The high end for this for NYC/W LI would be what- 8-12 inches? Thats if it maxes out and stays all snow.
  6. LibertyBell
    at the top end this could turn into 8-12 inches of snow for us
  7. LibertyBell
    PD2 type storm incoming
  8. LibertyBell
    so now you believe this could be entirely snow during the day at least for NYC/Western LI?
  9. LibertyBell
    Many more of them in the last 30 years or so. The last time was 11 years ago at the previous peak of the cycle which also happened to be the earliest on record. Yes, it was in 2010 lol.....April 7th, the same day we had a snowstorm in 2003, we hit 92 in 2010 (both years were big on snowfall but ended differently.)
  10. LibertyBell
    Okay so this plus something in March. Based on your stats it seems like there would be a 50% chance of NYC getting 6" of snow in March.
  11. LibertyBell
    I feel like this is just as rare as NYC hitting -10. So maybe there is hope one day of that happening too.
  12. LibertyBell
    I'm counting on the 11 yr cycle of very hot summers holding true again this year and typically you get hot weather in such seasons beginning in April. There might be some snow in March, probably less than or equal to 6" but I expect to see 90 degrees beginning in April and frequently thereafter. I'd also expect the summer to be dry, which is usually the case with these 11 yr cycles.
  13. LibertyBell
    would this be enough to get NYC to 40"? JFK getting to 30" for sure
  14. LibertyBell
    sounds like VD 2007
  15. LibertyBell
    Do you wish you were there right now?
  16. LibertyBell
    I dont think those girls want to see snow either.
  17. LibertyBell
    Still no real explanation for the rapid rise in the AO. Was it because of the MJO?
  18. LibertyBell
    we still have time to reach number 1
  19. LibertyBell
    I'm hearing there's also a good possibility of lake effect snow from Lake Pontchartrain? Wow, I guess the last time that happened was also in 1899? Don this is much rarer than what happened on Xmas in 2004 isn't it?
  20. LibertyBell
    background state NAO -1 just like the early 2000s!
  21. LibertyBell
    It actually started on Jan 31. It annoys me to no end that February gets screwed out of 2 inches of snow and January gets 2 inches of snow it didn't deserve because it has an extra day it shouldn't have. I never understood why February was limited to 28/29 days....why the hate for this awesome month? My calendar that I came up with would be much more balanced and February would get 2 extra days, one from January and one from March! My calendar: January.....30 days February...... 30 days (31 days in leap years) March......... 30 days April......... 30 days May......... 31 days June........ 30 days July......... 31 days August....... 31 days September...... 30 days October...... 31 days November...... 30 days December...... 31 days Much easier to remember!
  22. LibertyBell
    two snow axes, one south and one north?
  23. LibertyBell
    This season has had an amazing amount of Greenland blocking- do you think this might be the case for several years since this looks like a phase change has occurred?
  24. LibertyBell
    Sounds like Dec 2020
  25. LibertyBell
    wow shades of Feb 1899! Lake effect and gulf effect snow!
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