LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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it's actually going to be closer to 8:30
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There is a huge positive to this which most are ignoring. The time change has been blamed on a rise in car accidents, heart attacks and other issues so having one set time is the right way to go.
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1977-78 was the only snowy winter in that list
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LGA around 1.75" Walt (based on the maps)?
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Thanks looks like about an inch and a half sounds about right for me, being 5 miles east of there.
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Walt, got the JFK totals? The nearest totals to me in those maps were east or north of me, based on that looks like around 1.5" inches here or maybe slightly more.
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The question is why?
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That's why I try to stick to airport numbers, I'm within 5 miles of JFK.
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Such projections reflect typical conditions that develop during La Niña events, which are associated with an episodic cooling of ocean waters in the tropical Pacific. This year, La Niña is forecast to prevail for a third straight winter. ^is it even science to issue outlooks based on this? We have had some amazingly snowy La Ninas, I don't think a forecast can be made on this alone.
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Accuweather predicts 18-24" inches of snow for the winter, slightly more than the 17" NYC got last winter. But note that totals ramped up quickly once you got to Queens and east last year-- most of us had around 2 feet of snow or even more. I wonder if that will happen again this winter. Would 2000-01 be a good analog?
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I wish the county lines were more prominent in that map, but either way we were in the light turquoise so that's about an inch of rain here. What were the final totals of NYC and the local airports, JFK, LGA, EWR? Thanks!
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We had some heavy rain here in SW Long Island too between 9-12 AM. That was plenty of rain, we don't need any more.
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Thanks it would have been nice for YES to announce it. No one has said anything lol
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On the plus side hopefully the Yankees game won't be rained out. It can rain all it wants on days when the Yankees aren't playing at home.
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long nights and very cold mornings. I can't handle mornings in the 40s, its very cold.
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We don't really need so much rain anymore. Half an inch is just fine.
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Isn't there some way to destroy these annoying pests?
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They were also doing that in the New England subforum lol.
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Don, what about Cold October followed by Mild November? Some of our snowiest winters had this combo.
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This was the first time I've ever seen Greenland in the forecast cone of a TC!
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Intuitively, I would say a lot of mixing events? Maybe the 1993-94 winter was like this for that reason? Perhaps this pattern is so inherently chaotic that predictability of storm snowfall amounts and p-type percentages would be very low unless within 48 hours of an event (lower than they'd normally be anyway.)
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Don, what do you think is causing this historic behavior? Is it because of that recurving typhoon?
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Nope, we got just over a foot so can't complain here either, we get a bit of the central/south NJ storms as they come up just offshore.
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Well, that is unusual-- but the NAO is slightly positive right now isnt it-- forecast to go negative in about a week? Also, I remember a correlation that was posted that the AO and NAO are in tandem about 80% of the time (the same sign).
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That is-- I notice it's a local hot spot for snowfall maxes lol. You also do better in the storms that slide "under" NYC
