LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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I think 97-98 was the fluke....the examples of great south shore 20 plus inch HECS includes Feb 1983 and Jan 2016, both of which were amazing here. I'm going by JFK numbers, where 82-83 was the snowiest season between 77-78 and 93-94 and the only one with over 30 inches of snow in that period and in 2016 we had over 40 inches of snow.
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it was snowing and sticking here this morning with the sun out -
It was snowing and sticking here with the sun out this morning
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It would be interesting to see what the five biggest all snow storms were with a positive AO and NAO.
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why is it called a chaser? who is doing the chasing and who is being chased?
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This is the perfect track for us.
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Both, after midnight Friday night and all day Saturday and first half of Saturday night, a true 24 hour storm.
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This is the perfect track for us.
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Aren't all events thread the needle events? They could all trend slightly one way or another and cause big changes to the outcome. I've seen mixing or changing or out sea tracks with -AO and -NAO too. I'd rather have a +PNA than a -NAO or -AO.
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This is why our largest storms were first forecast to miss our area to the south.and east. See Feb 1983, Jan 1996, PD2, Boxing Day 2010 and Jan 2016
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It's probably not going to be that far east either, so expect more trending west. 12 inches plus here as is here in SW Nassau, but I want the 20 inch plus totals.
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Thats how they develop an eye-- it's what happened in Feb 1978 Storm surge too
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backside snow
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We want it to trend a little further west to get in on the good stuff (by good I mean 20 inches plus). Here in SW Nassau I would like it to go 100 miles further west- a track between Block Island and Nantucket would be ideal.
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You actually want some to go west of LI to ensure this wont go too far east of us. I want a track between Block Island and Nantucket. How many of the ensembles go west of 40/70?
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No one remembers that storm....the only storm from Jan 2015 that most remember is the 10 incher that was supposed to be a 30 incher
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We had rain at the beginning here with that one, that wont be the case this time around. If that storm was all snow here it would have easily been 20 inches plus
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No more like Boxing Day 2010 Go with that analog
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Imagine what that would have been like on a BM track.....still waiting on a triple phaser to get that done, maybe one day.
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Did we have winds similar to that in Boxing Day 2010? I remember something like 80 mph winds out on the Cape and 70 mph on Long Island.
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It's fine being a warminista but the confounding part is going into threads and celebrating the misery of other people. It has to be some kind of trauma like you said.
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And it's quite possible that a huge event like this could alter the pattern in such a way as to blunt the warm up....it's happened before with big storms that affected the pattern that occurred after them for days, sometimes even a week or more.
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Big hockey night right here if you've joined the party OL!
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Oh, so that explains the helmet he's wearing!
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anything to get snowman19 off our backs Ray....glad you don't have him in your subforum lol, the guy tries to downplay every "threat" and now he's talking about an all out torch for February, getting a big one at the end of January would probably keep him quiet for a few.
