LibertyBell

Well that explains the cooler springs....I think you said that May was the month most likely to have a -NAO, does that have to do with lack of ice cover in the Arctic? Also the blocking last winter was south based but we still had good snows, does that mean that ANY -NAO even a south or east based one is better than any +NAO? Also interesting that we had our strongest -NAO on record in 2009-10, did it flip to a +NAO for our hottest summer on record in 2010 and then back to strongly -NAO again for the 2010-11 winter, Chris?

APB out on Snowhole19 for weenieing and fleeing from the scene of a crime, he was last seen 4 hours ago leaving his last weenie at the end of the above post.

You were the last person he weenied, 4 hours ago lol, did you happen to see in what direction he ran?

APB out on Snowhole19 for weenieing and fleeing from the scene of a crime, he was last seen 4 hours ago leaving his last weenie at the end of the above post.

There is an APB out on him, he was last seen weenieing and fleeing from the scene of a hit and run.

even an Atlantic Ridge can serve as a block but we get none of that

a la March-April 1990 and a few other years

sleeting here on the south shore of western Nassau and winds are blowing like crazy out of the NE

Idk temps dropping quickly, this is a strong arctic front

Nice so Manhattan changed over at 10 AM? How soon until it gets here? Before 12?

For big storms December is supreme. None of the city airports have had double digit snowfall in March since 1993. December is another story.

Looks like chances have increased as it's already changed over in Manhattan and Brooklyn, Don?

Yes, sort of like how we got to 40 inches in 2005-06. That event in April 2006 (during the day I might add)- was actually more like 1-2 inches here. Do you have video from that?

Having a -AO or a -NAO seems to be meaningless because 1) most of them occur in spring and 2) it seems most of the time we get the south based or east based kind that aren't that good for us.

Tbink NYC will get to 20" seasonal snowfall with this Don?

I noticed changeover time on the hourly forecast is 11 AM here in SW Nassau and it'll keep snowing until 6 PM, so right around sunset.

This storm seems to be greatly delayed, I figured it would be raining here hours ago. Doesn't delayed onset of precip, a slower storm, mean more time for the cold air to catch up?

so you live on the UWS? I thought you lived on long island lol...maybe on the east end it's a coating but western nassau should see a few inches

so a positive from the high prices at least.

whats your opinion of the future....looking years down the line....will we see a lot more of these positive NAO/AO because of the warming of the Atlantic that you described and will we see a lot more La Ninas because of a similar warming occurring in the Western Pacific? Have you seen the latest IPCC report that projects a 14% increase in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 rather than the required 45% decrease needed to avert catastrophic consequences, Don?

Don why is this storm moving so quickly? Is it because of the lack of blocking or is something more going on?

sounds like Vets Day 1987, Jan 2000 and a few other storms I remember.

No I was there last weekend doing some early spring clean up, I'll be there again next weekend and much more regularly starting in April.

well since we are north of Philly we should get to freezing well before them

that had a -NAO I think?