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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. yeah really the first week of April has been better for snow for us than the last week of March lol....what are the chances this cold shot gets pushed back to the first few days of April?
  2. 4-16-2014 and 4-9-2018 really stand out, not just because of very late freezes but also because of the snowfalls that accompanied them
  3. any snow with that late month freeze, Chris?
  4. I love that 1990 is on this list, that was my most memorable March for warmth
  5. I dont go by average temps that doesn't really indicate real warmth to me. There has to be at least 1 80 degree day otherwise it won't compare to our other top Marches
  6. meh I've started spraying already also took Benadryl because my allergies are back. why cant we invent a chemical to prevent useless over pollination?
  7. dont say that...those are our best and hottest summers.
  8. nothing matches 2010 I love dry heat
  9. depends which part, we were near 70 here in SW Nassau and not a cloud in the sky
  10. idk, I remember March 1990 far better than March 1998
  11. and 2010 the greatest summer of all time
  12. 2010 was my favorite summer of all time I hope whomever figures out climate control just puts the years of 2009 thru 2018 on repeat....
  13. the summers between 2010 and 2013 were much hotter than this though
  14. March 1990 was epic and I remember it to this day. Bermuda shorts in NY, no need to go somewhere else on spring break lol. It felt like summer. And then we had snow in early April lol. 1-2"
  15. I loved how it was way more like 1982-83 than 1997-98, we got the all time south shore snowstorm in late January. It makes me think 1997-98 was an outlier in that even if we have a big el nino with mild temperatures, chances are at the peak of winter there will be one huge snowstorm and it'll favor the south shore.
  16. Thanks it also looks like we almost had a 3 year el nino in the early 50s? 1951-52 through 1953-54? 1952-53 just barely missed as it didn't get into el nino three month averages until February.
  17. that sounds very similar to the April 1910 storm!
  18. thats extremely unfortunate I really loved and enjoyed those dry summers, the last two that I remember were like that were 2002 and 2010. I loved those summers! Nice dry heat. Since the early 2010s peak heating our highs have gotten less and the lows have gotten higher like you said, especially for coastal areas.
  19. Lake Powell looks like it's not going to be functional as a reservoir for much longer. Lake Mead looks like its water levels are going down too. Overpopulation is a big problem but the population is starting to stabilize and the latest predictions state that it won't get over 10 billion, which is around the earth's carrying capacity.
  20. Read about Donziger though, there's a bunch of federal judges willing to do the bidding of the cartels and arrest the lawyers who sue them.
  21. The only other three year la nina I can find besides 1998-99 through 2000-01 in this list is 1973-74 through 1975-76. https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php I thought this was interesting too https://www.pmel.noaa.gov/elnino/lanina-faq Is there such a thing as "normal", aside from El Niño and La Niña? Over the long-term record, sea-surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific diverge from normal in a roughly bell-curve fashion, with El Niño and La Niña at the tails of the curve. Some researchers argue there are only two states, El Niño and non-El Niño, while others believe either El Niño or La Niña is always present to a greater or lesser degree. According to one expert, NCAR's Kevin Trenberth, El Niños were present 31% of the time and La Niñas 23% of the time from 1950 to 1997, leaving about 46% of the period in a neutral state. Other notes: this seems to show that 2014-15 and 2015-16 was a two year el nino, and the only other examples of that are 1986-87 and 1987-88, 1976-77 and 1977-78 and 1957-58 and 1958-59 and 1968-69 and 1969-70. Also 2015-16 seems to be the strongest el nino on record, beating out 1997-98.
  22. well thats good, so April wont be a cool rainy month then? Question about this late March cooldown, you dont see this lasting more than 5 days or so? Also question more long term, since next season is predicted to be a La Nina (53% chance) do you have an early look at possible analogs for third year la ninas? I believe we had three consecutive la ninas in the late nineties-- 98-99/99-00/00-01....the third year was actually the best of the bunch with the December snowstorm but ended on a sour note in March, but still over 30 inches of snow! Have other third year la ninas been better than the previous year too? Either way, at least it's not neutral which looks like the worst combo for us (neutral after la nina)..... as 1989-90 and 2001-02 would attest to.
  23. LGA but no JFK? What year has the earliest snowfall records from JFK or Idlewild? Was that the storm in which Babylon got over 2 feet? I thought there was another one in the 50s (58?) where they got close to 30 inches?
  24. What about the April 1910 (?) event that gave NYC 10 inches and 19 inches in Philly, was that a blizzard? And was the March 1958 event the one that dropped 29 inches at Babylon?
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