LibertyBell
-
Posts
44,789 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by LibertyBell
-
Yup feast or famine, and it'll probably be either next year or the year after, seeing what usually happens after really bad winters like this one. After 2001-02 we had 2002-03 (need a nice strong el nino) and after 2011-12 we had an average winter in 2012-13 and then a couple of blockbusters after that.
-
It's just like with the Indigenous people I watched in a documentary, they can't rely on salmon fishing like they used to for thousands of years, because the fish are disappearing in the wild. They have to move on to other ways of sustaining themselves
-
No but we're (somewhat tepidly) hoping for a big winter next year. Regardless my favorite years are la ninas after el ninos because they give the dramatic change from a super hot and very dry summer to a snowy winter. Those are my all time favorites. Nothing better than going from 100+ degrees down to the coast in the summer to 20"+ blizzards down to the coast in the winter!
-
I don't even understand how it could not have snowed after middle January. There must be a measurement error somewhere.
-
can we categorize SSW too? There should be categories for them as follows: LECS (Cat 1) SSW SECS (Cat 2) SSW MECS (Cat 3) SSW HECS (Cat 4) SSW BECS (Cat 5) SSW I wonder what the return period is for them per category?
-
Is that why 2010 was so crazy? el nino major blocking and SSW?
-
Blizzard of 1966 and Blizzard of 1967 the following year? I knew 1965-66 had more snow south of us (an el nino) and we got our big winter the following year after a super hot summer
-
No but I researched it-- that was an el nino. Our big winter was the winter after that in 1966-67, classic very hot and dry summer followed by a snowy winter!
-
Wow, I wonder how much? Did it snow in London too? They already had a big snowstorm (10") back in December....I always thought when they have a big snowstorm we get one a couple of weeks later (because of blocking.)
-
This looked so good and then you misspelled January* lol
-
Superbowl and you have a deal. The Eagles are just a steppingstone on the way.
-
you can't have beef....you're a vegan!
-
Metfan is "kicking ass and taking names"
-
even with all the lol's in this string of posts the funniest was still can be please disable my mom preview lol whatever happened to Noreaster anyway?
-
Did we ever have a 0 or a T both in December and January? The obvious answer would be no but I guess it could have happened in 2011-12 after the October snowstorm.
-
Thanks! That was such a fun storm! Do you have any videos of the white out conditions too?
-
I just said that in the main thread lol
-
Don is the Score the WSI index? Also I see a 1997-1997 in there, is that 1997-1998?
-
I see a 5.5 near Plymouth that seems to be a snow peak area for them just like Monmouth County is for us lol.
-
I keep asking this lol-- what kept this storm from going further west? Not enough SE ridge?
-
Extremes are the new normal.
-
1970-1999 (really just the 70s and 80s) were historically bad. If that happens again it means the effects of climate change are becoming stronger and we need to expect this more often. I do believe that by 2050 if not earlier NYC average snowfall will be in the teens and probably under 10 inches by 2080. There is no such thing as "regression to the mean" when it comes to the climate-- it is always changing, there is no magic "mean" where it settles.
-
Yep, I would say it's extremely likely we end up with under 10 inches this month if we don't get a few inches this month. That sounds obvious but that's historical precedent for this area. Under 5 inches will become a strong possibility too. If we don't get at least an inch this month, I don't believe we will get to 10 for the season.
-
We have to go with historical precedent at this point so I'd say it's likely we end up with under 20 inches of snow and quite possible it's under 10 inches when the season is finished. Of course under 5 inches if it's historically bad for snow.
