LibertyBell

Don what are the chances that February can average at or above 40?

2 week cooldown, Don? When is that supposed to happen- around March 15th? On average our last measurable snowfall is around March 20th so timed well with the equinox. I think our first measurable snowfall averages around December 20th, timed well with the solstice.

I loved April 2002 (and the summer that followed)

Wait Islip had measurable snow in May 2020? or did they have a perfect 0 in February?

April 1997

Don there wont be a significant pattern change in the second half of February. It already happened lol, this is the pattern change the warm weather is here. The whatever we get Sunday is just a small gnat on the windshield of warmth thats already here

this forum is going to empty out until the first summer super heatwave. No one cares about any other kind of weather here and they shouldn't Severe weather sure, but it rarely happens on the coast and the chances of it happening are so small in the spring around here that it's not worth bothering about until May. I think we'll end up in the political sub forum duking it out before the end of February lol. Now there's a place where the drama never ends lol.

I think JFK made it to 55, did they not Don? It's going to be impressive to get three straight days in the 50s at the coast before February 15.

Looks like our typical mild pattern 1-2 inch event

They're usually very minor, we need to whittle down the analogs to the ones I listed above. 89-90 is a typical example, a warm February and March followed by a 1-3 inch snowfall in early April. 97-98 might represent the top end of what we should expect, 5" after a nearly snowless winter.

Even early April... it depends on what you mean by snowstorm lol. Realistically throwing out the colder winters like 81-82 and 02-03 and 17-18 which had big snowstorms we can look at milder winters which ended with a snowfall, then there are analogs like 83-84, 89-90, 96-97, 97-98, 98-99, 99-00. All of these had a late season snowfall after a warm February and/or March March 1984 April 1990 (after a historically warm Mid March.) April 1997 March 1998 (after a nearly snowless winter) March 1999 April 2000 None of these were really big snowfalls (I think March 1998 might have been the biggest with 5 inches, so that probably represents the top end of what we can expect.) Outside of that and March 1984 (which was more of a mixed precip mess), the others were all 1-3 inches.

Instead of irrelevant trivia like when zip codes came into being this is the interesting stuff we should be talking about, I've been waiting for some awesome results from Tokamak for YEARS and now finally here we are! controlled nuclear fusion-- here we come! https://twitter.com/i/events/1491539482973249539

You can see a random minor event in any kind of pattern pretty much.

We had the -AO in December and that did no good, this whole winter has been a tragedy outside of a couple of days in January. Ironic thing is if you live in Atlantic City you've had a great winter lol. Even DC and Baltimore did well.

I just made a direct statement which honestly, are really all people are interested in and why they come to this forum for. So we should discuss the very real possibility of the above coming true.

well let's put some solid numbers to your post. the chances are increasing we could be totally shut out for snow in February and yes I consider a T a shut out and thats what we have here unless we get some kind of renegade late March storm a la March 1998 we could be shut out of snow in March too There is a possibility that we have already received our last measurable snowfall for the season and that should be discussed because the chances of it are growing greater by the day So let's confront this possibility instead of hiding from it (not saying you are, but I see people dancing around it.)

are you serious? I have no clue about these things, because I don't use the postal service....for anything. I think the last time I even went to the post office was over 20 years ago. how exactly did they deliver mail before the 1960s? it's really unimportant minutiae no one needs to know, the USPS is an anachronism.

controlled nuclear fusion-- here we come! https://twitter.com/i/events/1491539482973249539

yeah so we need to spray pesticides to kill all those ugly stinging bugs right lol

it's fine if it's not cloudy. I'd like it to be sunny 6/7 days every week

I would love that. Let me tell you what my trip from the Poconos to Long Island is like. It's 2 hours to get right to Manhattan and then another hour and a half to get from Manhattan to SW Nassau. Go figure.

it seems to originally have been part of Manhattan (I mean the island not the political county/borough), but when that artificial canal was dug it became its own island. I think the best way to put it is it's now its own island and not part of Manhattan island geographically but is still part of Manhattan politically. The Bronx zipcode thing I don't understand-- maybe they wanted to be part of both? I wonder what its zipcode was before the canal was made.

haha yea, best thing about Holland are their tulips and the way they engineer their crops (food output there is tremendous compared to the size of the country) and their wind power. I bet they do a lot of geoengineering too.

There was a fight over who owned Staten Island too lol

So it's an island either way. Look anything not part of a continent (I mean not directly connected to a continent)- is an island. The best way to define it right?