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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. 2002 should be a good analog, I believe we get a hot dry summer it turns wetter in the second half of August. Do you have a prediction for JFK? I'm going with 15-20.
  2. Chris, you posted that Mineola hit 108 in July 2010-- I thought that was July 2011 lol. Can you check through July 2011 records to see what their highest temp was that month? Thanks! Just comparing it to JFK, I know JFK hit 102 in July 2010 (at or above 100 3 days.... 101, 102 and 100) and 103 in July 2011 (at or above 100 twice, 103 and 100.)
  3. In the summer we just need to delay the sea breeze to come in after 3 PM to hit 100 degrees. A nice downsloping wind like today can do that and also limit the humidity at the same time.
  4. Yes I really hope we get this in July again. Our heat comes not from the SE ridge, it comes from the west, which I think we'll get this year. Strong heat building in the middle of the country and reaching us from the West.
  5. The typical climate progression would be that we get this early heat and then it regresses to a cooler rainier pattern for a few weeks (4-6) and then we get more hot and dry weather beginning in the second half of June and for July and the first half of August. Later in August we would get the influence of the el nino and switch to a rainier pattern after the 20th or so.
  6. We may have that that in 2002 too, those were my two favorite summers in the 21st century. It got to 100+ and it felt so nice you could go running in that weather.
  7. thats the perfect weather, we had that in July 2010 and you could go running in it
  8. 2002 and 2010 had my favorite Aprils.... even though we'll regress to cooler weather (aside from 1976) there is a nice connection between April heat and extreme heat showing up again during the summer.
  9. I love that 1977's early heat is showing up, yesterday it was 90 on this date in 1977. 2002's heat came a bit later.
  10. You wont be whining when this kind of heat may lead to a snowy winter.
  11. I miss this, this is like an old fashioned heatwave like we had back in the 90s. I think we're going to get a lot of this during the summer, with heat building in from the west, like it should during the summer. Analogs 1977, 2002
  12. Could even hit 90 here, I love high energy days like this!
  13. Didn't Hatepe or Hautepe cause a super tsunami? That was the most powerful eruption in recorded history?
  14. I think that's why there's an advantage being farther south. Three of the four of the 20"+ snowfalls that I have seen here have occured in moderate or strong el ninos. There's been a total of 3 of them, February 1983, PD2 and January 2016 (over 30") The only exception was the exceptional January 1996.
  15. Just saw something on the news today research on volcanoes in Hawaii "talking" to each other-- what is that about?
  16. 1894 - A heavy late season snow blanketed parts of the northeastern U.S. Heavier snowfall totals included 31.5 inches at Salem Corners PA, 30 inches at LeRoy NY, 26 inches at York PA, 14 inches at Waterbury CT, and 9 inches at Providence RI. (The Weather Channel) I wonder if Providence had 9 inches, how much NYC/Long Island had? We should have seen some accumulation down here from that too.
  17. yes finally some old fashioned heat!
  18. was the state low at an official airport measuring station? How close was the low at MJX to 21? Thanks! Looking for FOK data too, usually FOK and MJX and MVY compete for the lowest temps on radiational cooling nights
  19. the one big blizzard component is more common it also means a warmer winter, but we have those anyway
  20. thats going to melt quickly, could be some major spring flooding in those parts
  21. That was very memorable, the only time I've seen snow here in May was in 2020. So we went from record cold to early heat to latest snowfall to historic heat (in July 1977 we had our hottest week on record)-- that's MY kind of weather! And of course the winter after that was historic also.
  22. I do too, I just hope I don't get lost up there looking for the total solar eclipse. Just like tourists come down here and get lost looking up at skyscrapers, I can totally see myself getting into an accident trying to move around while looking up at the sun lol.
  23. It's the anniversary of the April 9-10, 1996 snowstorm forecast was for 6-12 inches in NYC which was a bust for the city, but we did get 4-5 inches here near JFK with over a foot to 16 inches in eastern Long Island. Well remembered for the snowy Yankee stadium opening day which Andy Pettitte pitched with snow accumulating on his cap lol. The snow seemed to get heavier throughout the game.
  24. The thing was though, it wasn't even a really good winter for us, it was just an average winter so the area of heaviest snows must've been very narrow. We didn't get any huge 20"+ coastals like we get now. La Ninas after El Ninos seem to be very good for that.
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