LibertyBell

I woke up at 7:45 but had to deal with some other stuff first (plus last night's Euro looked good so I slept easy.) There was a giant hawk in my back yard, no clue what it is, but it's dark grey on top and mottled brown and white on the bottom with huge red eyes. I took pictures but it's too large to upload here. Any idea what species it could be? It's the third time I've seen it but the first time I've gotten pictures of it. So we have giant hawks and cute parakeets here, Long Island is turning into a bird sanctuary.

If there is no blocking where is all this cold air coming from?

so the difference is more because JFK is normally much colder than LGA vs actual temperatures being much warmer at JFK this month?

wow multiple days at or below zero in this period in 1982. on the other end of the spectrum, after a historically cold December in 1989 we were now setting daily records during this period in January 1990. and this below 0 blizzard was famous 1857 - A great cold storm swept across the Atlantic Seaboard. Snowfall totals of 12 inches were common, whole gales caused shipwrecks and damage property on islands, and temperatures near zero prevailed from Virginia northward. Great drifts of snow blocked transportation. Richmond VA was cut off from Washington DC for a week. (David Ludlum)

Staying up for the Euro, Ant?

No the tremendous cold will be here before the storm. This storm comes at the end of it.

That might be the largest storm of all since it's the pattern change storm. Saturday or Sunday (or both days?)

Kind of like the Millenium storm lol

if it's the same mistake happening each time then YES

With all this cold weather, I still saw a large flock of monk parakeets flying overhead and then perching near the top of a nearby tree. We must really have a subtropical climate now....

this will never be more than a 4-6 event for us even if it were all snow.

snow cover? we had a dusting of snow cover this morning but it's all gone now.

I'd like to see the footprint of the Christmas 2004 storm.

They might have more snow than us even if it doesn't bust. A 4 inch snowstorm still keeps NYC in single digits snowfall and if we don't get any more snow this winter, that will be yet another single digit snowfall winter.

this is why you should want the Euro as far offshore as it can get. Benchmark track sounds perfect.

Is there a chance the period from the 25th onward is just average instead of being milder than average? Many of the models don't even have it all that mild for the first part of February.

8-12 for Mt Pocono wow 4-6 for the south shore is pretty decent.

Looks like January has a decent chance to finish below 30.0 Don!

I wonder if Christmas 2004 was like that down there, Victoria Texas got close to 10" if I remember correctly.

wow JFK and LGA both -1 on this date and EWR -7, did Central Park also go below 0? were all the airports also below 0 on this date in 1977-- the coldest day of one of our coldest winters!

Foundation series beat Lord of the Rings for all time best series, it's well worth the read. It's also a good read if you're into politics.

doubt it, the storm is a quick mover no time for 6-8 and we'll be cold enough for everyone to get at least 2.

and thats in February anyway, not in January.

this is the call of every network.

This is the official forecast, outlier models need to be ignored.