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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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I wanted to share something, not sure how accurate this is, but I found this while looking up big heat https://www.reddit.com/r/newyorkcity/comments/1epkptr/central_park_ny_highest_maximum_temperature_f/ That 106° reading was on 07/09/1936 during the incredible 1936 heatwave that effected most of the US from the Midwest to the east coast. It was the highest temperature ever recorded in NYC. In those days the official weather bureau temperature was measured at the old Battery Maritime Building near Battery Park where it was always a little cooler due to it's proximity to the water. So the actual temperature in midtown may have been more like 112° if not higher. My mother remembered that heat wave and said that people left their tenement windows open during the day even if they were at work. A very different city then.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Yes and sadly enough this more humid and warmer climate with less 95 and 100 degree days is actually much worse. I've noticed it makes breathing more difficult for me. I looked up July 9, 1993 which was a very hot day where I live (south shore of Long Island), at JFK it was 100 degrees with a dew point of 58 and humidity of 25%. I had no problems being outside gardening, mowing my lawn, etc that day. I noticed I find it much more difficulty on a day like today, temperatures in the 70s with 100% humidity. I noticed that although 90 and 95 degree days have flatlined here (not going higher) 85 degree days are increasing. So we're getting more days with a high of 85-89 and lows of 70-75+..... I think this is going to cause many more health issues than our *old climate* when we had highs of 90-95+ and lows in the 50s and 60s. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Note this doesn't mean ACC is not occurring, of course it is, it's just that it's nuanced in terms of how in the summer it's much more driven by higher minima. In winter it's driven by both. Record 95+ streak for NYC, the last one was in 2002 =\ I miss my extreme heat summers.... -
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it looks like the sun is trying to come out here, thankfully
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But not two 7+ day streaks in one summer since 2002. Also found this regarding Central Park https://thestarryeye.typepad.com/weather/2013/07/new-yorks-lengthiest-heat-waves.html A heat wave, at least in the Northeast, is defined by the National Weather Service as three days in a row with high temperatures of 90° or hotter. They occur, on average, about twice each summer. However, this post is interested in "big boy" heat waves, i.e., those lasting seven days or longer. Since records began in 1872 there have been just twenty-two, with one occurring about every seven years. The seven-day heat wave of July 2013 broke a ten-year streak without one (and there hasn't been one of this length since).
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The small black ticks are the worst and they're the ones that cause Lyme disease. A deer fell into my pool and died a few years ago and I found six of those ticks on my clothes that summer and got that tick repellant chemical from Amazon to put on my clothes, but I was changing my clothes in my garage every day I worked in my garden and washing those garden clothes in a bucket in my driveway outside every day. I did some research and found out that the tick's best natural enemy is an opossum, they eat those things like crazy so now I always leave food out for them.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
https://www.weather.gov/okx/heatwaves Longest Heat Waves - 90 degrees + in a row (through March 10) Days Dates Temperatures 91,91,91,94,98,99,98,100,97,102,94,90 92,97,97,93,96,97,93,92,90,98,90 98,100,101,102,97,94,94,91,90,90 90,94,92,97,95,98,94,96,93,90 92,96,98,95,92,93,94,94,94 93,92,96,98,97,100, 102,92,104 91,93,91,91,91,94,99,101,95 93,94,91,94,92,91,93,93,91 96, 95, 95, 96, 97, 90, 92, 91 91, 92, 91, 94, 93, 94, 96, 95 98, 95, 98, 94, 95, 94, 96, 93 97, 102, 97, 96, 95, 95, 96, 95 91,91,93,95,95,100,100,94 93, 93, 91, 94, 96, 90,96 93, 93, 95, 94, 96, 99, 97 90, 93, 96, 99, 96, 100, 102 94, 93, 94, 98, 96, 93, 97 94, 95, 96, 93, 94, 94, 93 98, 100, 90, 95, 100, 97, 93 92, 97, 100, 101, 91, 90, 90 https://thestarryeye.typepad.com/weather/2013/07/new-yorks-lengthiest-heat-waves.html A heat wave, at least in the Northeast, is defined by the National Weather Service as three days in a row with high temperatures of 90° or hotter. They occur, on average, about twice each summer. However, this post is interested in "big boy" heat waves, i.e., those lasting seven days or longer. Since records began in 1872 there have been just twenty-two, with one occurring about every seven years. The seven-day heat wave of July 2013 broke a ten-year streak without one (and there hasn't been one of this length since). -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
No thats not all of it, climate change doesn't mean higher highs here in the northeast, at least in the areas where we live. It's not about *sensors running warmer* I lived through the 1991, 1993, 1999, 2002 great summers when we had 100 degree days. I measured the heat myself and it was more excessive than what we see now. Cities like PHL, NYC, JFK are on record lack of 100 day streaks now. It's because *climate change* does not mean *global warming* not every place is experiencing higher temperatures, especially higher maxima. In the winter sure, it's getting warmer, but the summer-- not so much. The averages are getting somewhat higher yes, but that is driven by higher minima, extreme heat is being blunted by more rainfall. You can see this with how heatwaves are much shorter than they were back in the period I referenced, with drier hotter summers in the 90s up to 2002 we had much longer heatwaves. 2002 was our last summer with two 7+ day heatwaves and we have not seen 100 degrees here since 2013, and this record applies to all three cities. -
Philly, NYC, JFK all have record lack of 100 day streaks right now.
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if we go by number of 90 degree days probably less hot but this is bound to change at some point and we will return to our hot summers from the 90s once again
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In 1993-94 and 1995-96 and 2004-05 they were not snowy enough (at least for the northeast).
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No I'm just going by the Longest Heatwaves page the NWS maintains for NYC, I don't know what heatwaves JFK had that year except for the amazing 102 degrees we hit out here right after the 4th of July! According to that page NYC last 7+ day heatwave was in 2002 and 2002 was also the last year to have two heatwaves of that length (well of course since it was also the last time they had one 7+ day heatwave lol.)
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and two big heatwaves in July of 7+ days each, something we don't see anymore :-( We saw it happen one more time in 2002 and that was it.
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A few years ago a deer fell into my pool at my other house in the Poconos and died and I had to call in the game warden to help remove the deer. Well long story short, removal of the deer was much easier than what happened the rest of that summer. A massive tick infestation, I found six ticks on my clothes that summer, I bought that chemical from Amazon that you're supposed to put on your clothes to keep them away but still had to change clothes after each time working in my garden and wash my gardening clothes in a bucket before taking them inside, etc. The ticks were of the small black variety and thankfully none of them got under my skin (literally), although one did manage to get into my hair but I removed it before it was able to do anything else. I found out later to leave food for opossums since they are the ticks' worst nightmare, they eat them like crazy.
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we have to like it because it's much needed, Rob!
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Highs:EWR: 99 (1999)NYC: 96 (1925) 94 in 1999 * / 2008LGA: 97 (1999)JFK: 92 (1999) 1999 had such a great summer, we didn't have all these darned ticks that year. Looks like this is when the heat got started that wonderful summer and today was a clean sweep for record highs that year.
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I'm really worried about these ticks Rob, I see there's large numbers of them in parks here. It's going to be a bad season (it already is.) https://abc7ny.com/post/tick-season-officials-warn-bites-rise-provide-prevention-tips/16669279/ SMITHTOWN, Long Island (WABC) -- "Don't let a tick make you sick." That's the message doctors across the country are spreading after discovering that tick bites are on the rise. The CDC estimates 500,000 people in the U.S. will get Lyme disease this year, and all it takes is a single tick bite. Wildlife experts say, from what they are seeing, it could be a rough season.
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Let me go on record as saying that 70 degrees 70 dew point and foggy with 100% humidity (which caused me to turn on my a/c before 7 am) is much much worse than 100 degrees with a 58 dew point and 25% humidity and sunshine, for which I would never have to turn on the a/c. With another tropically wet month coming up I'll be spraying for mosquitoes and other nasty bugs outside.
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So it looks like June will be wet just like May was but with much higher humidity, so more like a tropical climate for us? I'm going to have to spray outside for mosquitoes and other bad bugs.
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yeah this weather absolutely sucks, on came the a/c even before 7 am lol 100 degrees sunny and dew point of 58 with humidity of 25% is so much more comfortable than this.
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what you're describing sounds a lot like 2004-05 that was the famous Messenger (RIP) winter when everything trended favorably for coastal snowstorms.
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interestingly, in winters like 1993-94. 1995-96 and 2004-05 the models underdid snowfall.
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paradoxically, CC may cause ocean effect snow to increase for the Cape and Islands?
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Chris whats that giant High in eastern Canada doing in the first map, all that deep red up, what are the temperatures under that?
