LibertyBell

Yeah he doesn't know what he's talking about, as usual.

you don't know shit about the geography of this area, if the city is getting 2-4 inches so is the south shore of Nassau county, they are way more similar than they are to the east end.

they're already looking forward to the storm next Friday lol

you say *canonical la nina* all the time but guess what, a cold December and cold January are also *canonical la nina*, and February is the shortest month of the year so if it's in the 50s and sunny all month, I think we'll all be happy, especially if it's a cold and snowy back half of January, most will be done with winter after this.

whats the NAVY model saying?

what about allmix?

Isn't that what's happening here too?

I think we can pull out a December 2002 kind of scenario.

a west to east kind of transition? Maybe somewhat like December 2002 in that respect.

I mean anything that falls after 2 pm, it's going to be nice to see those temperatures fall hour by hour.

yeah and it will snow until 2 am, so it would be really difficult not to get at least 3 inches.

yeah, we can't take that seriously.

precip won't start before around 2 pm

it's not going to rain here, I wouldn't take those models seriously that show that.

No, NYC consistently averaged between 30-35 inches of snow for the first 5 decades they kept snowfall records, the climate was entirely different back then and both January and February averaged temperatures in the 20s (and February was our coldest month.)

then we had it again on St Patrick's Day.

lol okay and people were getting upset over 1-3 inch forecasts

there's a zero percent chance of rain on Sunday, it's going to be ALL SNOW.

I don't have Apple TV and I loathe streaming anything, but is Foundation faithful to the classic book series?

wow is this at Summit Camp, Ed?

and the ironic thing is, 2019-2020 was one of our least snowy seasons in total.

it's weird that with unfrozen Great Lakes, Buffalo still doesn't get much snow. For the third year in a row all the snow is going towards Erie and Buffalo has below normal snowfall.

it was very weird during the 80s, EWR and PHL would get down to -8 to -10 and NYC barely made it below zero -1 to -2. You don't ever see that much of a separation anymore.

It looks like something that should be on the Great Lakes

we had this issue last October too. Funny that back in 2002 when it was also very dry we didn't have any fires. Funny that in 1965 into 1966 our driest period on record we didn't have any fires. The fact is we have gotten unnaturally high rainfall from starting from 2005 onwards. It's caused a lot of excessive growth that needs to be chopped down (including in our parks!) Once we remove that growth the chances for fire will be less. The same needs to be done in California. There are also other issues, like power companies needing to shut power off when the wind is very high (they have been sued for not doing this before.)