NJwx85
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2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
18z GFS is going to come West. -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's actually a really simple forecast. If the Southern piece can get ahead of the digging trough, it will phase and come up the coast. If it misses the phase altogether it will go OTS and if the phase is late then we will get scraped and Eastern New England will get it. -
Big shout out to @BxEngine and @Rjay for keeping the board clear both before and during the storm of the typical nonsense and bickering that usually goes on.
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Just surpassed 24 straight hours of non stop snow here.
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Looks like another intense band is about to rotate in, coming through Queens now.
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Does it have anything to do with the depth of the cold air mass? It's only 27 degrees here which is actually the warmest it's been in a few days.
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My sister lives on Hurtin Blvd. Before that she lived a few miles away in one of the coops.
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That looks like my Sisters neighborhood.
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Somewhere around the same. It's hard to measure with all the drifts. Even the snowboard isn't reliable with the winds.
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Just an amazing storm here with no real end in sight. 18z 3k NAM has light snow persisting over the area for about the next 24 hours and doesn't really start to show things lightening up until after 10PM.
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After a brief lull things have really picked up again, visibility is back below 1/4 mile.
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I can definitely tell the difference with the snow intensity in between bands. The heaviest axis of snow now is from just NW of Philly up to about the Paterson, NJ area. Definitely a larger area of subsidence near Newark.
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It doesn't make much sense to me, but the HRRR depicts the sleet line working well up into the Hudson Valley tonight. If that happens it's going to be hard to get the really big numbers that the NAM was spitting out up this way.
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I'm looking at the soundings for the HRRR and I don't see a warm layer. I think it's just a product of milder air coming in off the ocean at the lowest levels due to the close proximity of the low tracks. The standard radar that most people use doesn't resolve mixing issues well.
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It's not over and you look to be in a pretty good spot for the pivot.
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Just been ripping here for the last 1-2 hours. Visibility is down to about 1/10th of a mile.
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LOL at people complaining about getting over a foot of snow.
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I assure you, parts of NJ up into SE NY will reach over 20". Some places in NW NJ are already approaching those numbers. The NY Metro doesn't end at the Hudson River.
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The next 8-12 hours are going to be the height of the storm. System has begun to pivot as evidenced by the band of snow moving Southeastward back towards the Lakewood/Toms River area.
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About 10" OTG here in Southern Rockland County. Visibility is down to about a quarter mile.
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