5 1 /2 in New City ,,,,,by the way an hour ago we lost power for a few minutes but it came back on,,,,,,,,,winds are picking up here,,,,and the Fireplace is also cranking and roaring
just hit 4 inches in New City,,,,,,,looks as if I have been gettin 1 inch per hour,,,,,,cant wait to see what happens after 1 or 2 am,,,,,,ps the winds seem as if they are starting to pick up here,,,,,ps 29 degrees
this was shared take a look
While the latest 12z GFS is now lower with QPF and more in line with
the Canadian and ECMWF, these global models are struggling with
banding. Current forecast QPF and Snow Amounts remained similar
to previous forecast which is more in line with hi res/HREF
guidance. Snow amount was derived using similar snow ratios to
the previous forecast. Much of the guidance including the NBM
appears to be too high. This was mannualy adjusted down to
10:1 or even a bit lower today, then increasing to 12-14:1 by
late tonight into daybreak Monday as colder air wraps around
the system. Using these ratios with generally 1.25 to 1.50
inches of QPF across the interior and 1.75 to 2.00 inches along
the coast resulted in a swath of about 20 to 24 inches of snow
for NYC and Long Island and 16 to 20 inches elsewhere. While
this is the expected amount, a few isolated readings of 30
inches are possible in the heaviest banding, mainly along the
coast.
I posted this elsewhere but I will put it here also as I am looking for a little insight ,,,,,,,IF the MESOS earlier started to bum people out why would the NWS now increase amounts and issue blizzard warnings for Orange and Duchess counties which are well N n W of NYC ,,,,,,what are the experts looking at ? The HRRR ? something else ? Bueller ? anyone
So what would have them expand warnings and increase totals when the GFS being east and mesos were getting others into panic mode,,, is it the Hrrr or something else any guesstimates as to why ?
The Mesos might be right but they also might be wrong,,,,,,,it's nowcast time as we really won't know which guidance had it correct or wrong until tomorrow,,,,,just my opinion
All team USA needs is a goalie who is standing on his head which they have and 1 more goal preferably before OT ,,,,,,miracles not needed both teams are stacked
" Let The Pigeons Loose " as snow is falling in New City / Rockland County !!!!!! It is nowcast time ladies and gentleman , everyone enjoy this and stay safe, THIS is going to be epic !!!!!!