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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. def believable .. convection along the south coast gets lifted to that axis where the crazy totals are depicted.. trains east as the blob by NYC moves ENE along that same axis .. gonna be wild
  2. KBOS pulled a 81 for a low last night .. temps will drop below this evening but still impressive 88/66 at 9 am
  3. return of the smoke from out west? https://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/HRRRsmoke/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZipTZA.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_ncep_smoke_jet:&runTime=2021082412&plotName=trc1_int&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=49&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR-Smoke Graphics&maxFcstLen=48&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=full looks like NNE right in the crosshairs this week .. already can see the smoke that will move in this afternoon:
  4. convection starting to fire on the S/E side as recon gets close .. should be interesting
  5. new convection blowing up where it seems the S/SE eyewall is
  6. caveats apply ... but the 18z NAM further east / much slower if anything that's a different look
  7. If Henri is going to intensify, convection will have to start firing up soon near the center .. otherwise it is what it is at this point
  8. Def improvement since midday! Shear prob has maxed and slowly declining. CDO looks more symmetrical, outflow improving although still getting squashed on the N/NE sides. Any idea when the next recon flight is scheduled?
  9. with the slow movement and risk of a stall, def in play
  10. too early imo .. could easily be a wobble. If the LLC and MLC become more aligned even briefly, could go back to WSW heading in the short term too
  11. Ukie also has it at 984 mb at 18z today .. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmet&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2021081912&fh=loop&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
  12. Wednesday might be close .. torch spots prob max in the MU 80s and low 70s dews
  13. 88/76 means the warmest tarmac is 88 and there is one station in SNE with a dew of 76 .. def in play
  14. kbos running 5 degrees ahead of yesterday/ wednesday at this time clear start ftw
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