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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. PowellVolz
    Going to be interesting to see what MRX does. They are running out of low end mods to roll with. .
  2. PowellVolz
    Moving faster? .
  3. PowellVolz
    I just hope this doesn’t follow the trend of the year and goes NW in the 11th hour .
  4. PowellVolz
    I think this also could be a deal where odd locations go snow faster than climo locations based on snow rates. .
  5. PowellVolz
    No one gets mad at the weather guys when they predicted 2 inches and we get 6. .
  6. PowellVolz
    .
  7. PowellVolz
    What are those rates along the northern plateau? .
  8. PowellVolz
    Hope I’m not overreacting but that looks similar to the 3k NAM .
  9. PowellVolz
    Maybe I’m wrong but it seems like the NAM always leads the way with the first big adjustment. Maybe it’s too amped which would pull it NW but if it doesn’t start to move back on the next run or two, the valley is in trouble IMO. Hopefully it’s bias is showing up .
  10. PowellVolz
    Doesn’t make sense that SE trends benefited W/M Tennessee but hurt ETn. .
  11. PowellVolz
    Just thinking out loud… less GOM, less warm nose = higher ratios? .
  12. PowellVolz
    If flatter means less amped, would that suggest less chances of warm nose issues? .
  13. PowellVolz
    This is correct. In this storm the western side of the apps had major downsloping issues but for whatever reason, they didn’t make it west of the mountain counties. The valley NW of 75/40 and west of 81 had a CAD type situation. I’m just north of Knoxville and I stayed all snow and never made it out of the 20’s. At the same time Gatlinburg was in the mid 40’s with rain. I’ve actually wondered if there could have been a weak inverted trough up the valley which negated the downsloping and also added more lift in the valley to help keep the column cold. .
  14. PowellVolz
    As @Carvers Gap mentioned before… the closer you are to the rain, the heavier your rates will be. In this case Knoxville is closer to the heavier rates than the plateau. We won’t see much dynamic cooling in this event but with heavy rates comes some atmospheric cooling from the top down and it’s likely this is beating back the warm layer (which is probably very shallow). Another possibility is we have seen before with a NW wind, the valley can “trap” cold air all the way up to the lower mid levels in a perfect setup. .
  15. PowellVolz
    I don’t believe I’ve seen a mod suggest that either .
  16. PowellVolz
    What could go wrong they said…. .
  17. PowellVolz
    I’m trying not to get excited but here we are. .
  18. PowellVolz
    Interesting .
  19. PowellVolz
    Laid preemerg last week and my lawn is quickly greening up and starting to grow. I’ll probably make my first cut since Christmas Eve in the next day or two. .
  20. PowellVolz
    Just started at my house with rain and sleet but now it’s snow and sleet .
  21. PowellVolz
    Now it’s mixed with snow 39 degrees .
  22. PowellVolz
    Man it’s pouring the sleet at my house .
  23. PowellVolz
    Just a small picture but it goes from N to S as far as I can see. .
  24. PowellVolz
    The back edge of the cloud deck looks like a shelf or roll cloud. Guess that’s CAA pushing in, kinda cool looking. .
  25. PowellVolz
    There was some decent winds with this as it moved though my area this morning, est around 40ish. Lots of limbs down and you can see a few frames later it “outflowed” it’s self. .
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