I fell like this setup has happened before in WNY. Sometime in the 2011 12 13's? Big synoptic storm predicted around 18" right up to the start of the event. Ended up being a sleet bomb surprise killed the snowfall, had 3-4" of just solid sleet ice pellets, heavy has hell and maybe 2" of snow on top. NAM and even RGEM are throwing a lot of warmer air back our way, still looks to hold snow in WNY but another blip adding to this storm.