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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Trifecta for the big three hitting 90°.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    RIP, IAD to Mappy tomorrow on the 12z NAMNEST at HR 34 -> 36
  3. Eskimo Joe
    It would be peak DC to be in an ENH and miss everything.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Would tend to agree with you. The SFC - 3km heliticty values are far more impressive north of Mason-Dixon down into the upper Delaware Bay region.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Correct on all accounts. The 00z IAD sounding prior to the 2012 derecho had an 850 temp of +24. the science officer at LWX did a quick analysis and found that 850 temps only occurred 6 times beforehand.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Red Box for PA and Cecil County until 00z...
  7. Eskimo Joe
    DCA and BWI...just need IAD for the trifecta. Looks like some CU popping so the cap must be breaking. Hope it holds until the storm get closer from the west.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Blue box for West Virginia until 7:00 pm. I'd imagine we can't be far behind.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    We really are looking pretty good down to I-66(ish). Good sunshine, decent dews, decent shear, good mid and low level lapse rates.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Just to our north and within the hour: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md0881.html
  11. Eskimo Joe
    The 12z RAOB from IAD indicated a convective temp of 89°, which most areas are nearing. The 18z special RAOB should be publicly available around 2:30 pm...going to be interesting to see what it tells.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Nothing will beat the tornadoes from Ivan. That's the benchmark for tornadoes in these parts.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    I don't think today is a tornado day. It's a wind/hail day.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    We have some decent mid level lapse rates to our west. That's good to see. More sustained updrafts and DCAPE is pushing up as well. I'm still in for today, but I know the best action is probably more Baltimore than DC.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Always will be.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    ATTN: @yoda
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Heh, we're already popping ~2,000 SBCAPE at 10:15 am.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Yea that thing went bonkers. It's a sick looking hail signature.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Yea tomorrow is probably our best shot for anything organized this week.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    You accept paypal?
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Yea it's nice. We'll have a kicked plus the airmass.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    I'm in for now. Going to wait until late tomorrow morning before going all in or not.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    I'm in for a big cell or two and that's it, but if you get under one good luck. Going to be a few happy campers and many people left out.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Doubt it. They usually tweet about it, haven't seen anything on their social media.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Upstream sounding from PIT...BOOM!
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