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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=305&yr=2019
  2. Well the watch definitely verified. Already over half a dozen wind reports already.
  3. Blue Box until 05:00 UTC EDIT: link: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0258.html
  4. There are a ton of large outdoor activities ongoing this weekend across the area, Rolling Thunder for example. A big push in the weather and public safety enterprises has been to be aware of mass outdoor gatherings and improve weather communication to the public and coordination agencies. Probably the reason for the 3 MCDs and the 2 SPSs. Not a bad thing though because someone will undoubtedly say "tHeRe WaS nO wArNiNg".
  5. Yea just saw that. Boundaries like that can compensate for the loss of daytime heating.
  6. Thinking we might bust outright today. The leftover clouds might have knocked things down enough to keep activity confined to areas south of I-66. I could go for another round of nighttime storms.
  7. IMO, June 2012 derecho was the worst forecast bust for severe weather. "See Text" to a Federal Disaster in 12 hours.
  8. That cell was impressive. Looks like its rapidly falling apart now though.
  9. Nope, I'm near harpers ferry's and nothing was close to severe.
  10. Sitting at the Bavarian Inn in Sheperdstown, WV and theres constant thunder from the NW. Beautiful lunch spot y'all need to come out here.
  11. Yup. Not bashing folks, just making an observation that during events like this wx comms can be an issue...our office doesn't rely on automated systems to push stuff to social media. There's too many cases of it causing more confusion than help.
  12. A number of universities leverage automated services from a private sector company out of central PA. University of MD College Park got slammed for this automated tornado warning service last year when there was no tornado warning.
  13. Automated machine learning BS. They got flamed, rightfully so, in the comments section.
  14. New event. Severe Thunderstorm Watch from 5/23/2019 9:20 PM to 5/24/2019 12:00 AM EDT for Carroll County, MD. https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=34202985
  15. I agree with Yoda. Could be a rogue boomer or two overnight and I favor the northern areas where there may be a remnant boundary or better instability.
  16. National Weather Service has confirmed an EF1 tornado touched down in the Columbia area of Howard County on Thursday at 15:34 hrs.
  17. @Kmlwxis right about June storms. The need to rapidly generate their own cold pool and benefit from a strong EML to push them over the terrain and prevent downsloping.
  18. The cell which moved from Winchester across northern Montgomery probably produced that. Cloud tops maxed out around 50kft which is a good size for this part of the country. 235k power outages in the DC area but that pales in comparison to the derecho where each county had about 240k in the dark for days.
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