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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    There's a subtle east west boundary running along rt. 26 in MD so the storm could be riding it.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Shocker
  3. Eskimo Joe
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Man that looks good
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Uh oh frederick county
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Blue Box until 01:00 UTC
  7. Eskimo Joe
    First SVR...imagine the watch can't be far behind:
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Yea it wouldn't surprise me if they didn't. This is pretty meh today.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Yea it would be fitting to get a watch and nothing happen. Back to the classic DC severe fail.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    80% chance of a blue box https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md0897.html
  12. Eskimo Joe
    I'll give SPC credit, they're looking to be 2/2 with the tornado watches this week in PA.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Storms will gust out if they are not able to maintain their updraft. This was evident yesterday with the cell that originated near New Market, traversed the Rt. 26 corridor and gusted out along I-795. In order for storm to maintain their updraft, they need to be continuously propagated whether by a front, self made cold pool or something else.
  14. Eskimo Joe
  15. Eskimo Joe
    A lot more debris clouds overhead slowing down the warming today...not sure anyone gets anything worth writing home about.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Nope...lol Check out [at]iembot_lwx on Twitter
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Trees down in the Gamber and Sykesville area per Carroll scanner.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Yea. All of a sudden the CU field went poof at work too. Wonder if there's some subsidence or something.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md0884.html
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Yea, it probably won't be available until 2:30 at the earliest.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Wonder if they're waiting on the 18z RAOB before making a call on a watch?
  22. Eskimo Joe
    I know that, I was referring to the convective outlook placement prior to the event.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    We always win when LWX / SPC are playing catch up, whether it's winter or summer.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Correct. Source: https://www.facebook.com/SHARPpy.wx/posts/tutorial-how-to-tell-if-your-sounding-is-convectively-contaminatedwith-spring-co/1592950307629254/
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Yoda, take solace in knowing that we fail 9.99/10 times and on our biggest day, Derecho 2012, SPC didn't even have us in a SLGT until a few hours before the event.
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