Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Looks like some kind of outflow boundary along I-70 in the past couple of frame from LWX radar. Might explain all the pre-line junk firing.
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I have to save them as .PNG to load correctly on this site. The convective temp on the 21z sounding was 92° so we're close but might not be enough for a full bore event. Still, those cells coming out of Adams and York counties have top pushing 55,000 feet now so there's definitely potential for damaging wind with them.
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Appears to be some rotation on the big cell just north of Shrewsbury.
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The convective temp on the 12z IAD RAOB was 94 degrees so the cap may not have been completely broken.
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Nice tongue of CAPE and helicity across the boundary for the severe t'storm and tornado watches. Kinda psyched.
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Tornado Watch is certainly justified. I'm a bit concerned things are going linear too quickly though for an organized tornado threat.
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I'm liking the boundary of the low level stratus for any TOR risk. South of there should be the biggest wind threat. Should be one of the better severe weather days in these parts.
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Early morning visible shows some clouds but mostly some low level fog and stratus which should burn off. I'm good with this.
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MoOc is on the southern end of the ENH and the front is sagging south not north. You're in a good spot. Wouldn't surprise me to see the ENH expanded south a bit. Tomorrow AM will tell a lot when we get the first few shots of the visible satellite. If there are healthy breaks then I'm probably "in".
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Yup. Looks good I agree with it. We do best on days with good mid level lapse rates around here.
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I'm intrigued about the hail risk across the WV panhandle and Maryland tomorrow. Could be fun.
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This video is my bible:
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Looks like activity is splitting towards Frederick County and NOVA.
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That line is in an area of pretty good surface convergence so it should fire quick. Doesn't look like the environment is too favorable for it east of the mts though. We haven't been able to manage more than 20 min or real sun here in Baltimore today.
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Per SPC meso...we have a decent wind field but there's a ton of CIN east of the Potomac. Hope we can manage at least a decent storm or two up here in Maryland.
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I like VA south of I-66 for this one. Too much crapvection this AM up north.
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This is going to be a record low year for flooding and severe locally.
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Going to harden the tomatoes off starting Tuesday. I plan on getting all our flower beds ready over the course of the week and then planting out next weekend. Sunflowers, pumpkins and squash seeds will be planted this week as well. We are going to experiment with a Russian Mammoth sunflower cultivar and I'm super excited to see what happens. They apparently grow 10' - 12' and have a flower head at least one foot in diameter.
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On the MD side of the Potomac, there were more power outages from this year's wind storm than from Sandy. -
Radishes starting to poke through the garden and garlic is killing it. Love watching garlic grow.
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Well that was disappointing last night. Only some brief moderate rain.
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Another TOR