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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. I love you for finding this. I have so many strong, wonderful memories of this event despite being only 9 at the time.
  2. EPS will be interesting to see if the OP is on crack or maybe somewhat in the ballpark.
  3. Cross polar flow this early in the year is always nice to see. I just hope we don't empty the clip and somehow reset to a blistering SE ridge for the meat of winter. At the very least this should kick up a good amount of lake effect and start freezing up Canada.
  4. I was born in Philly during the Veterans Day event in '87. My dad said it was not forecast well even in Philly, but the rest of the winter was pretty bland. Would be funny to get that Monday event almost 30 years to the day of the anniversary.
  5. Three 10 foot rows of garlic planted this weekend and put under a plastic row cover. Beets and collards to follow next weekend.
  6. Probably. Well have 65 degrees with bad air quality just in time for Santa.
  7. If I ever get even slightly excited for an upcoming weather event, please troll the crapola out of me and laugh me out of the thread. What a bust of an event this was, especially for a 10% TOR and 45% WND.
  8. There's a spike in transformer calls in Howard and southern Carroll County right now.
  9. several wires/tree calls in Westminster and New Windsor. Biggest winds seem to be ahead and just behind the precip. The winds slack off significantly once the rains start then about 10 min later it comes back in. There was a weak capping inversion noted on the 19z special RAOB out of IAD around 800mb. It's possible that the evaporational cooling from the precip kills the cap and then allows the rain to transport the winds to the surface.
  10. SPC issues SEVERE TSTM WATCH until 05:00 UTC 11/01/19
  11. Wind has really slacked off in Reisterstown but the clouds are still racing
  12. Man this "line" looks pretty paltry so far, wonder if its just in the mts. away from a good radar cross section or if we're too stable.
  13. TOR issued by LWX for Washington, MD and Allegany, MD and hampshire/hardy, wv
  14. Garrett County dropped from the tornado watch
  15. SPC stays ENH at the 4pm update.
  16. IMO, south of US 50 to I-66 has the best tornado potential. More sustained pockets of sun and therefore the chance that something gets rooted on the surface instability.
  17. LWX sending up special 18z raob.
  18. SPC issues TORNADO WATCH until 03:00 UTC 11/01/19 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0687.html
  19. If hatching is introduced then we go MOD. We're at the highest for ENH right now without going MOD.
  20. Sun and some legit pockets of blue sky peeking out in Baltimore County.
  21. SPC issues TORNADO WATCH until 04:00 UTC 11/01/19
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